Polls in the Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff on May 26 show a razor-thin contest between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and challenger Attorney General Ken Paxton, keeping trader consensus fragmented across narrow margin outcomes. Recent surveys, including a co/efficient poll from April 11–14 (Cornyn 44%, Paxton 43%, 13% undecided), reflect the March 3 primary's close finish—Cornyn 43%, Paxton 41%—with Paxton's Trump-aligned base providing enthusiasm amid low expected runoff turnout, offset by Cornyn's fundraising edge and establishment backing. Absent a game-changing Trump endorsement or late ad blitzes, high undecideds and early voting trends will likely decide separation in this battleground for Senate control.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트팍스턴 9% 이상 28.0%
코닌 <3% 21.3%
Cornyn 9%+ 14%
팩스턴 6–9% 14%
$53,608 거래량
$53,608 거래량
2026.05.25
팍스턴 9% 이상
28%
팩스턴 6–9%
14%
팩스턴 3–6%
11%
팩스턴 <3%
10%
코닌 <3%
21%
Cornyn 3–6%
6%
코닌 6–9%
3%
Cornyn 9%+
14%
팍스턴 9% 이상 28.0%
코닌 <3% 21.3%
Cornyn 9%+ 14%
팩스턴 6–9% 14%
$53,608 거래량
$53,608 거래량
2026.05.25
팍스턴 9% 이상
$10,555 거래량
28%
팩스턴 6–9%
$5,977 거래량
14%
팩스턴 3–6%
$4,774 거래량
11%
팩스턴 <3%
$6,427 거래량
10%
코닌 <3%
$4,694 거래량
21%
Cornyn 3–6%
$4,729 거래량
6%
코닌 6–9%
$5,211 거래량
3%
Cornyn 9%+
$11,241 거래량
14%
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Polls in the Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff on May 26 show a razor-thin contest between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and challenger Attorney General Ken Paxton, keeping trader consensus fragmented across narrow margin outcomes. Recent surveys, including a co/efficient poll from April 11–14 (Cornyn 44%, Paxton 43%, 13% undecided), reflect the March 3 primary's close finish—Cornyn 43%, Paxton 41%—with Paxton's Trump-aligned base providing enthusiasm amid low expected runoff turnout, offset by Cornyn's fundraising edge and establishment backing. Absent a game-changing Trump endorsement or late ad blitzes, high undecideds and early voting trends will likely decide separation in this battleground for Senate control.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
마켓 개설일: Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ET
거래량
$53,608종료일
2026.05.25마켓 개설일
Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Polls in the Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff on May 26 show a razor-thin contest between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and challenger Attorney General Ken Paxton, keeping trader consensus fragmented across narrow margin outcomes. Recent surveys, including a co/efficient poll from April 11–14 (Cornyn 44%, Paxton 43%, 13% undecided), reflect the March 3 primary's close finish—Cornyn 43%, Paxton 41%—with Paxton's Trump-aligned base providing enthusiasm amid low expected runoff turnout, offset by Cornyn's fundraising edge and establishment backing. Absent a game-changing Trump endorsement or late ad blitzes, high undecideds and early voting trends will likely decide separation in this battleground for Senate control.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
거래량
$53,608종료일
2026.05.25마켓 개설일
Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polls in the Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff on May 26 show a razor-thin contest between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and challenger Attorney General Ken Paxton, keeping trader consensus fragmented across narrow margin outcomes. Recent surveys, including a co/efficient poll from April 11–14 (Cornyn 44%, Paxton 43%, 13% undecided), reflect the March 3 primary's close finish—Cornyn 43%, Paxton 41%—with Paxton's Trump-aligned base providing enthusiasm amid low expected runoff turnout, offset by Cornyn's fundraising edge and establishment backing. Absent a game-changing Trump endorsement or late ad blitzes, high undecideds and early voting trends will likely decide separation in this battleground for Senate control.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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