With over 94% of votes counted in the March 17 Illinois Democratic U.S. Senate primary, Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton leads Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi by approximately 7 percentage points—40.2% to 33.1%—bolstered by strong turnout in Chicago, suburbs, and downstate counties, alongside Gov. JB Pritzker's endorsement and heavy ad spending. Pre-primary polls showed a tight race, but Stratton's broad coalition overcame Krishnamoorthi's fundraising edge, yielding trader consensus on a 6–9% margin at 98%. Official certification by the Illinois State Board of Elections remains pending, with minimal outstanding mail and provisional ballots unlikely to shift the lead absent a recount request, which Krishnamoorthi has not pursued.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Stratton 6–9% 98.1%
Stratton 9%+ 2.4%
Stratton 3–6% 1.8%
Krishnamoorthi 9%+ 1.0%
$23,580 거래량
$23,580 거래량
2026.03.17
Krishnamoorthi 9%+
1%
Krishnamoorthi 6–9%
<1%
Krishnamoorthi 3–6%
<1%
Krishnamoorthi <3%
<1%
Stratton <3%
<1%
Stratton 3–6%
2%
Stratton 6–9%
98%
Stratton 9%+
2%
Other
1%
Stratton 6–9% 98.1%
Stratton 9%+ 2.4%
Stratton 3–6% 1.8%
Krishnamoorthi 9%+ 1.0%
$23,580 거래량
$23,580 거래량
2026.03.17
Krishnamoorthi 9%+
$3,787 거래량
1%
Krishnamoorthi 6–9%
$0 거래량
<1%
Krishnamoorthi 3–6%
$1,872 거래량
<1%
Krishnamoorthi <3%
$0 거래량
<1%
Stratton <3%
$3,360 거래량
<1%
Stratton 3–6%
$5,109 거래량
2%
Stratton 6–9%
$5,228 거래량
98%
Stratton 9%+
$2,241 거래량
2%
Other
$1,984 거래량
1%
The Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois is scheduled for March 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.With over 94% of votes counted in the March 17 Illinois Democratic U.S. Senate primary, Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton leads Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi by approximately 7 percentage points—40.2% to 33.1%—bolstered by strong turnout in Chicago, suburbs, and downstate counties, alongside Gov. JB Pritzker's endorsement and heavy ad spending. Pre-primary polls showed a tight race, but Stratton's broad coalition overcame Krishnamoorthi's fundraising edge, yielding trader consensus on a 6–9% margin at 98%. Official certification by the Illinois State Board of Elections remains pending, with minimal outstanding mail and provisional ballots unlikely to shift the lead absent a recount request, which Krishnamoorthi has not pursued.
The Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois is scheduled for March 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
마켓 개설일: Mar 17, 2026, 6:52 PM ET
거래량
$23,580종료일
2026.03.17마켓 개설일
Mar 17, 2026, 6:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois is scheduled for March 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.With over 94% of votes counted in the March 17 Illinois Democratic U.S. Senate primary, Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton leads Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi by approximately 7 percentage points—40.2% to 33.1%—bolstered by strong turnout in Chicago, suburbs, and downstate counties, alongside Gov. JB Pritzker's endorsement and heavy ad spending. Pre-primary polls showed a tight race, but Stratton's broad coalition overcame Krishnamoorthi's fundraising edge, yielding trader consensus on a 6–9% margin at 98%. Official certification by the Illinois State Board of Elections remains pending, with minimal outstanding mail and provisional ballots unlikely to shift the lead absent a recount request, which Krishnamoorthi has not pursued.
The Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois is scheduled for March 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
거래량
$23,580종료일
2026.03.17마켓 개설일
Mar 17, 2026, 6:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With over 94% of votes counted in the March 17 Illinois Democratic U.S. Senate primary, Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton leads Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi by approximately 7 percentage points—40.2% to 33.1%—bolstered by strong turnout in Chicago, suburbs, and downstate counties, alongside Gov. JB Pritzker's endorsement and heavy ad spending. Pre-primary polls showed a tight race, but Stratton's broad coalition overcame Krishnamoorthi's fundraising edge, yielding trader consensus on a 6–9% margin at 98%. Official certification by the Illinois State Board of Elections remains pending, with minimal outstanding mail and provisional ballots unlikely to shift the lead absent a recount request, which Krishnamoorthi has not pursued.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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