State Sen. Eric Pratt's commanding 85% implied probability in the MN-02 Republican primary stems from Tyler Kistner's abrupt withdrawal on April 15, 2026, citing activation from Marine Corps Reserves for Middle East deployment, effectively clearing the field ahead of the August 11 primary. Kistner, a prior nominee who captured recent straw poll wins like 66% at Scott County's convention, leaves residual support reflected in his 9.5% odds, though his strategist declined endorsement over Pratt's past Trump criticism and legislative record. With Rep. Angie Craig vacating for a Senate bid, traders view Pratt as the consensus frontrunner in this competitive battleground district, pending party endorsements and any late entrants.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$14,258 거래량
$14,258 거래량
2026.08.11
Eric Pratt
85%
Tyler Kistner
9%
$14,258 거래량
$14,258 거래량
2026.08.11
Eric Pratt
$2,617 거래량
85%
Tyler Kistner
$11,641 거래량
9%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Sen. Eric Pratt's commanding 85% implied probability in the MN-02 Republican primary stems from Tyler Kistner's abrupt withdrawal on April 15, 2026, citing activation from Marine Corps Reserves for Middle East deployment, effectively clearing the field ahead of the August 11 primary. Kistner, a prior nominee who captured recent straw poll wins like 66% at Scott County's convention, leaves residual support reflected in his 9.5% odds, though his strategist declined endorsement over Pratt's past Trump criticism and legislative record. With Rep. Angie Craig vacating for a Senate bid, traders view Pratt as the consensus frontrunner in this competitive battleground district, pending party endorsements and any late entrants.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
거래량
$14,258종료일
2026.08.11마켓 개설일
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Sen. Eric Pratt's commanding 85% implied probability in the MN-02 Republican primary stems from Tyler Kistner's abrupt withdrawal on April 15, 2026, citing activation from Marine Corps Reserves for Middle East deployment, effectively clearing the field ahead of the August 11 primary. Kistner, a prior nominee who captured recent straw poll wins like 66% at Scott County's convention, leaves residual support reflected in his 9.5% odds, though his strategist declined endorsement over Pratt's past Trump criticism and legislative record. With Rep. Angie Craig vacating for a Senate bid, traders view Pratt as the consensus frontrunner in this competitive battleground district, pending party endorsements and any late entrants.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
거래량
$14,258종료일
2026.08.11마켓 개설일
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...State Sen. Eric Pratt's commanding 85% implied probability in the MN-02 Republican primary stems from Tyler Kistner's abrupt withdrawal on April 15, 2026, citing activation from Marine Corps Reserves for Middle East deployment, effectively clearing the field ahead of the August 11 primary. Kistner, a prior nominee who captured recent straw poll wins like 66% at Scott County's convention, leaves residual support reflected in his 9.5% odds, though his strategist declined endorsement over Pratt's past Trump criticism and legislative record. With Rep. Angie Craig vacating for a Senate bid, traders view Pratt as the consensus frontrunner in this competitive battleground district, pending party endorsements and any late entrants.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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