Former CIA officer and Air Force veteran Eric Conroy dominates trader consensus at 90% implied probability to win Ohio's 1st Congressional District Republican primary on May 5, propelled by President Trump's endorsement announced April 15, which solidified his frontrunner status amid early voting underway since April 7. Conroy's military background and campaign momentum have drawn support in the newly redrawn toss-up district, where all four candidates—dentist Steven Erbeck at 6.5%, businesswoman Holly Adams at 0.7%, and nonprofit CEO Rosemary Oglesby-Henry at 0.4%—are political newcomers lacking similar high-profile backing. Recent candidate forums highlighted Conroy's edge, though low turnout or late scandals could narrow the gap before election day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트에릭 콘로이 90%
스티븐 에르벡 7%
홀리 아담스 <1%
로즈메리 오글스비-헨리 <1%
$15,642 거래량
$15,642 거래량
2026.05.05
에릭 콘로이
90%
스티븐 에르벡
7%
홀리 아담스
1%
로즈메리 오글스비-헨리
<1%
에릭 콘로이 90%
스티븐 에르벡 7%
홀리 아담스 <1%
로즈메리 오글스비-헨리 <1%
$15,642 거래량
$15,642 거래량
2026.05.05
에릭 콘로이
$13,455 거래량
90%
스티븐 에르벡
$843 거래량
7%
홀리 아담스
$820 거래량
1%
로즈메리 오글스비-헨리
$525 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former CIA officer and Air Force veteran Eric Conroy dominates trader consensus at 90% implied probability to win Ohio's 1st Congressional District Republican primary on May 5, propelled by President Trump's endorsement announced April 15, which solidified his frontrunner status amid early voting underway since April 7. Conroy's military background and campaign momentum have drawn support in the newly redrawn toss-up district, where all four candidates—dentist Steven Erbeck at 6.5%, businesswoman Holly Adams at 0.7%, and nonprofit CEO Rosemary Oglesby-Henry at 0.4%—are political newcomers lacking similar high-profile backing. Recent candidate forums highlighted Conroy's edge, though low turnout or late scandals could narrow the gap before election day.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Mar 26, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
거래량
$15,642종료일
2026.05.05마켓 개설일
Mar 26, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former CIA officer and Air Force veteran Eric Conroy dominates trader consensus at 90% implied probability to win Ohio's 1st Congressional District Republican primary on May 5, propelled by President Trump's endorsement announced April 15, which solidified his frontrunner status amid early voting underway since April 7. Conroy's military background and campaign momentum have drawn support in the newly redrawn toss-up district, where all four candidates—dentist Steven Erbeck at 6.5%, businesswoman Holly Adams at 0.7%, and nonprofit CEO Rosemary Oglesby-Henry at 0.4%—are political newcomers lacking similar high-profile backing. Recent candidate forums highlighted Conroy's edge, though low turnout or late scandals could narrow the gap before election day.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
거래량
$15,642종료일
2026.05.05마켓 개설일
Mar 26, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Former CIA officer and Air Force veteran Eric Conroy dominates trader consensus at 90% implied probability to win Ohio's 1st Congressional District Republican primary on May 5, propelled by President Trump's endorsement announced April 15, which solidified his frontrunner status amid early voting underway since April 7. Conroy's military background and campaign momentum have drawn support in the newly redrawn toss-up district, where all four candidates—dentist Steven Erbeck at 6.5%, businesswoman Holly Adams at 0.7%, and nonprofit CEO Rosemary Oglesby-Henry at 0.4%—are political newcomers lacking similar high-profile backing. Recent candidate forums highlighted Conroy's edge, though low turnout or late scandals could narrow the gap before election day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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