Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 57.5% probability for a Democratic governor in Nevada's November 2026 election, diverging from recent polling averages showing a dead heat or slight edge for incumbent Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo over Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford, such as March 27 Noble Predictive Insights (Lombardo 39%, Ford 38%, 23% undecided) and November Emerson College (41%-41%). High undecided shares and Nevada's battleground status as a swing state with tight historical margins fuel uncertainty, while strong primary showings—Ford leading Democrats 48% and Lombardo at 60% among Republicans—set up the presumed general matchup ahead of June 9 primaries. National midterm dynamics and turnout in key voting blocs like Las Vegas could tip the balance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$20,462 거래량
$20,462 거래량
2026.11.03
Democrat
57%
Republican
44%
$20,462 거래량
$20,462 거래량
2026.11.03
Democrat
$5,030 거래량
57%
Republican
$15,432 거래량
44%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 57.5% probability for a Democratic governor in Nevada's November 2026 election, diverging from recent polling averages showing a dead heat or slight edge for incumbent Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo over Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford, such as March 27 Noble Predictive Insights (Lombardo 39%, Ford 38%, 23% undecided) and November Emerson College (41%-41%). High undecided shares and Nevada's battleground status as a swing state with tight historical margins fuel uncertainty, while strong primary showings—Ford leading Democrats 48% and Lombardo at 60% among Republicans—set up the presumed general matchup ahead of June 9 primaries. National midterm dynamics and turnout in key voting blocs like Las Vegas could tip the balance.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
거래량
$20,462종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 57.5% probability for a Democratic governor in Nevada's November 2026 election, diverging from recent polling averages showing a dead heat or slight edge for incumbent Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo over Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford, such as March 27 Noble Predictive Insights (Lombardo 39%, Ford 38%, 23% undecided) and November Emerson College (41%-41%). High undecided shares and Nevada's battleground status as a swing state with tight historical margins fuel uncertainty, while strong primary showings—Ford leading Democrats 48% and Lombardo at 60% among Republicans—set up the presumed general matchup ahead of June 9 primaries. National midterm dynamics and turnout in key voting blocs like Las Vegas could tip the balance.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$20,462종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 57.5% probability for a Democratic governor in Nevada's November 2026 election, diverging from recent polling averages showing a dead heat or slight edge for incumbent Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo over Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford, such as March 27 Noble Predictive Insights (Lombardo 39%, Ford 38%, 23% undecided) and November Emerson College (41%-41%). High undecided shares and Nevada's battleground status as a swing state with tight historical margins fuel uncertainty, while strong primary showings—Ford leading Democrats 48% and Lombardo at 60% among Republicans—set up the presumed general matchup ahead of June 9 primaries. National midterm dynamics and turnout in key voting blocs like Las Vegas could tip the balance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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