Incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo and Democratic nominee Aaron Ford remain locked in a dead-heat Nevada gubernatorial contest ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, with trader pricing reflecting recent polling that shows the candidates essentially tied among likely voters and elevated undecided shares. Nevada’s swing-state dynamics, driven by Clark County urban voters and rural turnout patterns, sustain the balance consistent with toss-up or lean-Republican ratings from multiple forecasters. The June 9 primaries that formally nominated both major-party candidates reinforced the competitive setup without shifting momentum. Separation in implied probabilities could emerge from changes in independent and Hispanic voter turnout, economic conditions affecting key demographics, or late-cycle campaign events and endorsements before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$25,688 거래량
$25,688 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
51%
공화당
50%
$25,688 거래량
$25,688 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$6,534 거래량
51%
공화당
$19,154 거래량
50%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo and Democratic nominee Aaron Ford remain locked in a dead-heat Nevada gubernatorial contest ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, with trader pricing reflecting recent polling that shows the candidates essentially tied among likely voters and elevated undecided shares. Nevada’s swing-state dynamics, driven by Clark County urban voters and rural turnout patterns, sustain the balance consistent with toss-up or lean-Republican ratings from multiple forecasters. The June 9 primaries that formally nominated both major-party candidates reinforced the competitive setup without shifting momentum. Separation in implied probabilities could emerge from changes in independent and Hispanic voter turnout, economic conditions affecting key demographics, or late-cycle campaign events and endorsements before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
거래량
$25,688종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo and Democratic nominee Aaron Ford remain locked in a dead-heat Nevada gubernatorial contest ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, with trader pricing reflecting recent polling that shows the candidates essentially tied among likely voters and elevated undecided shares. Nevada’s swing-state dynamics, driven by Clark County urban voters and rural turnout patterns, sustain the balance consistent with toss-up or lean-Republican ratings from multiple forecasters. The June 9 primaries that formally nominated both major-party candidates reinforced the competitive setup without shifting momentum. Separation in implied probabilities could emerge from changes in independent and Hispanic voter turnout, economic conditions affecting key demographics, or late-cycle campaign events and endorsements before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$25,688종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo and Democratic nominee Aaron Ford remain locked in a dead-heat Nevada gubernatorial contest ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, with trader pricing reflecting recent polling that shows the candidates essentially tied among likely voters and elevated undecided shares. Nevada’s swing-state dynamics, driven by Clark County urban voters and rural turnout patterns, sustain the balance consistent with toss-up or lean-Republican ratings from multiple forecasters. The June 9 primaries that formally nominated both major-party candidates reinforced the competitive setup without shifting momentum. Separation in implied probabilities could emerge from changes in independent and Hispanic voter turnout, economic conditions affecting key demographics, or late-cycle campaign events and endorsements before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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