Trader consensus heavily favors Shin Yong-han at 93.5% implied probability for the June 3, 2026, Chungcheongbuk-do gubernatorial election, driven by his April 4 victory in the Democratic Party of Korea's runoff primary against Noh Yeong-min, securing unified party backing amid a high-profile welcome ceremony on April 14 led by party leader Jung Chung-rae. This contrasts sharply with the People Power Party's disarray, including multiple primary restarts triggered by court injunctions over incumbent Kim Young-hwan's exclusion and ongoing multi-round "Korean Series" contests among candidates like Cho Gil-hyeong and Yoon Hee-geun, delaying a cohesive opposition challenge. While no post-nomination polls are available, historical local election patterns favor organized parties; shifts could arise from a strong PPP nominee emergence, scandals affecting Shin, or voter turnout swings in this battleground province.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신용한 94%
노영민 2.0%
조길형 1.8%
송기섭 1.8%
$22,513 거래량
$22,513 거래량
신용한
94%
노영민
2%
조길형
2%
송기섭
2%
이종배
2%
김영환
2%
윤희근
1%
도종환
1%
신용한 94%
노영민 2.0%
조길형 1.8%
송기섭 1.8%
$22,513 거래량
$22,513 거래량
신용한
94%
노영민
2%
조길형
2%
송기섭
2%
이종배
2%
김영환
2%
윤희근
1%
도종환
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
마켓 개설일: Nov 18, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Shin Yong-han at 93.5% implied probability for the June 3, 2026, Chungcheongbuk-do gubernatorial election, driven by his April 4 victory in the Democratic Party of Korea's runoff primary against Noh Yeong-min, securing unified party backing amid a high-profile welcome ceremony on April 14 led by party leader Jung Chung-rae. This contrasts sharply with the People Power Party's disarray, including multiple primary restarts triggered by court injunctions over incumbent Kim Young-hwan's exclusion and ongoing multi-round "Korean Series" contests among candidates like Cho Gil-hyeong and Yoon Hee-geun, delaying a cohesive opposition challenge. While no post-nomination polls are available, historical local election patterns favor organized parties; shifts could arise from a strong PPP nominee emergence, scandals affecting Shin, or voter turnout swings in this battleground province.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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