Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a Selic rate decrease (96.2%) at the Banco Central do Brasil's Copom meeting on April 29, driven by the committee's March 17-18 initiation of monetary easing with a 25 basis point cut to 14.75% after holding steady at 15% for nearly two years. This reflects recent March IPCA inflation easing to a 0.16% monthly print—despite annual acceleration to 4.14%—and Focus survey projections of gradual disinflation toward the 3% target, supporting a shallow easing cycle with end-2026 Selic around 12.5%. Upside risks from Middle East oil shocks and fiscal expansion could challenge this path, potentially prompting a pause if inflation expectations breach 4.5%.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트인하 96.1%
변경 없음 3.3%
인상 <1%
$268,457 거래량
$268,457 거래량
2026.04.28
인상
1%
변경 없음
3%
인하
96%
인하 96.1%
변경 없음 3.3%
인상 <1%
$268,457 거래량
$268,457 거래량
2026.04.28
인상
$142,570 거래량
1%
변경 없음
$61,420 거래량
3%
인하
$64,598 거래량
96%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a Selic rate decrease (96.2%) at the Banco Central do Brasil's Copom meeting on April 29, driven by the committee's March 17-18 initiation of monetary easing with a 25 basis point cut to 14.75% after holding steady at 15% for nearly two years. This reflects recent March IPCA inflation easing to a 0.16% monthly print—despite annual acceleration to 4.14%—and Focus survey projections of gradual disinflation toward the 3% target, supporting a shallow easing cycle with end-2026 Selic around 12.5%. Upside risks from Middle East oil shocks and fiscal expansion could challenge this path, potentially prompting a pause if inflation expectations breach 4.5%.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
마켓 개설일: Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
거래량
$268,457종료일
2026.04.28마켓 개설일
Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a Selic rate decrease (96.2%) at the Banco Central do Brasil's Copom meeting on April 29, driven by the committee's March 17-18 initiation of monetary easing with a 25 basis point cut to 14.75% after holding steady at 15% for nearly two years. This reflects recent March IPCA inflation easing to a 0.16% monthly print—despite annual acceleration to 4.14%—and Focus survey projections of gradual disinflation toward the 3% target, supporting a shallow easing cycle with end-2026 Selic around 12.5%. Upside risks from Middle East oil shocks and fiscal expansion could challenge this path, potentially prompting a pause if inflation expectations breach 4.5%.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
거래량
$268,457종료일
2026.04.28마켓 개설일
Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a Selic rate decrease (96.2%) at the Banco Central do Brasil's Copom meeting on April 29, driven by the committee's March 17-18 initiation of monetary easing with a 25 basis point cut to 14.75% after holding steady at 15% for nearly two years. This reflects recent March IPCA inflation easing to a 0.16% monthly print—despite annual acceleration to 4.14%—and Focus survey projections of gradual disinflation toward the 3% target, supporting a shallow easing cycle with end-2026 Selic around 12.5%. Upside risks from Middle East oil shocks and fiscal expansion could challenge this path, potentially prompting a pause if inflation expectations breach 4.5%.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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