Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83% implied probability for a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's June 2026 Copom meeting, following the committee's cautious 25 basis-point cut to 14.75% in March—the first easing move after five holds at 15.00%. This reflects weakening economic activity signals, including slowing GDP growth to 2.3% in 2025, outweighing March IPCA inflation acceleration to 4.14% year-over-year from fuel and food shocks. The central bank's Focus survey shows 2026 inflation expectations at 4.36%, above the 3% target midpoint, yet end-year Selic forecasts at around 12.13%, supporting further monetary loosening. Key catalysts ahead include April IPCA data and May activity releases, with low odds for hikes amid disinflationary pressures.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트인하 80%
변경 없음 16%
인상 2.3%
$20,432 거래량
$20,432 거래량
2026.06.16
인상
2%
변경 없음
12%
인하
82%
인하 80%
변경 없음 16%
인상 2.3%
$20,432 거래량
$20,432 거래량
2026.06.16
인상
$11,418 거래량
2%
변경 없음
$3,565 거래량
12%
인하
$5,449 거래량
82%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83% implied probability for a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's June 2026 Copom meeting, following the committee's cautious 25 basis-point cut to 14.75% in March—the first easing move after five holds at 15.00%. This reflects weakening economic activity signals, including slowing GDP growth to 2.3% in 2025, outweighing March IPCA inflation acceleration to 4.14% year-over-year from fuel and food shocks. The central bank's Focus survey shows 2026 inflation expectations at 4.36%, above the 3% target midpoint, yet end-year Selic forecasts at around 12.13%, supporting further monetary loosening. Key catalysts ahead include April IPCA data and May activity releases, with low odds for hikes amid disinflationary pressures.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
마켓 개설일: Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
거래량
$20,432종료일
2026.06.16마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83% implied probability for a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's June 2026 Copom meeting, following the committee's cautious 25 basis-point cut to 14.75% in March—the first easing move after five holds at 15.00%. This reflects weakening economic activity signals, including slowing GDP growth to 2.3% in 2025, outweighing March IPCA inflation acceleration to 4.14% year-over-year from fuel and food shocks. The central bank's Focus survey shows 2026 inflation expectations at 4.36%, above the 3% target midpoint, yet end-year Selic forecasts at around 12.13%, supporting further monetary loosening. Key catalysts ahead include April IPCA data and May activity releases, with low odds for hikes amid disinflationary pressures.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
거래량
$20,432종료일
2026.06.16마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83% implied probability for a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's June 2026 Copom meeting, following the committee's cautious 25 basis-point cut to 14.75% in March—the first easing move after five holds at 15.00%. This reflects weakening economic activity signals, including slowing GDP growth to 2.3% in 2025, outweighing March IPCA inflation acceleration to 4.14% year-over-year from fuel and food shocks. The central bank's Focus survey shows 2026 inflation expectations at 4.36%, above the 3% target midpoint, yet end-year Selic forecasts at around 12.13%, supporting further monetary loosening. Key catalysts ahead include April IPCA data and May activity releases, with low odds for hikes amid disinflationary pressures.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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