Polymarket traders price a 28.8% implied probability for Canada 2026 annual CPI inflation in the 3.5-3.9% band, closely trailed by 3.0-3.4% at 19.9% and 4.0%+ at 17.9%, reflecting tight competition amid recent disinflation offset by core measure persistence. February 2026 CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year due to base effects from the prior GST/HST temporary cut expiration, yet Bank of Canada-preferred CPI-trim and CPI-median core gauges slowed only to 2.3%, signaling underlying pressures from shelter costs and potential energy shocks. The BoC held its policy rate steady at 2.25% on March 18, with forecasts like RBC's eyeing a Q2 peak near 3% before settling at 2.4% year-end. Key swing factors include wage dynamics and geopolitics; watch March CPI release on April 20 and BoC's April 29 meeting for resolution catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트3.5-3.9% 29.4%
3.0-3.4% 18.4%
2.5–2.9% 13.0%
4.0% 이상 10.6%
$15,800 거래량
$15,800 거래량
2027.01.18
1.0% 미만
8%
1.0~1.4%
<1%
1.5–1.9%
4%
2.0~2.4%
5%
2.5–2.9%
14%
3.0-3.4%
18%
3.5-3.9%
29%
4.0% 이상
18%
3.5-3.9% 29.4%
3.0-3.4% 18.4%
2.5–2.9% 13.0%
4.0% 이상 10.6%
$15,800 거래량
$15,800 거래량
2027.01.18
1.0% 미만
$282 거래량
8%
1.0~1.4%
$303 거래량
<1%
1.5–1.9%
$568 거래량
4%
2.0~2.4%
$350 거래량
5%
2.5–2.9%
$464 거래량
14%
3.0-3.4%
$13,245 거래량
18%
3.5-3.9%
$263 거래량
29%
4.0% 이상
$325 거래량
18%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Polymarket traders price a 28.8% implied probability for Canada 2026 annual CPI inflation in the 3.5-3.9% band, closely trailed by 3.0-3.4% at 19.9% and 4.0%+ at 17.9%, reflecting tight competition amid recent disinflation offset by core measure persistence. February 2026 CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year due to base effects from the prior GST/HST temporary cut expiration, yet Bank of Canada-preferred CPI-trim and CPI-median core gauges slowed only to 2.3%, signaling underlying pressures from shelter costs and potential energy shocks. The BoC held its policy rate steady at 2.25% on March 18, with forecasts like RBC's eyeing a Q2 peak near 3% before settling at 2.4% year-end. Key swing factors include wage dynamics and geopolitics; watch March CPI release on April 20 and BoC's April 29 meeting for resolution catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
마켓 개설일: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
거래량
$15,800종료일
2027.01.18마켓 개설일
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Polymarket traders price a 28.8% implied probability for Canada 2026 annual CPI inflation in the 3.5-3.9% band, closely trailed by 3.0-3.4% at 19.9% and 4.0%+ at 17.9%, reflecting tight competition amid recent disinflation offset by core measure persistence. February 2026 CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year due to base effects from the prior GST/HST temporary cut expiration, yet Bank of Canada-preferred CPI-trim and CPI-median core gauges slowed only to 2.3%, signaling underlying pressures from shelter costs and potential energy shocks. The BoC held its policy rate steady at 2.25% on March 18, with forecasts like RBC's eyeing a Q2 peak near 3% before settling at 2.4% year-end. Key swing factors include wage dynamics and geopolitics; watch March CPI release on April 20 and BoC's April 29 meeting for resolution catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
거래량
$15,800종료일
2027.01.18마켓 개설일
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a 28.8% implied probability for Canada 2026 annual CPI inflation in the 3.5-3.9% band, closely trailed by 3.0-3.4% at 19.9% and 4.0%+ at 17.9%, reflecting tight competition amid recent disinflation offset by core measure persistence. February 2026 CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year due to base effects from the prior GST/HST temporary cut expiration, yet Bank of Canada-preferred CPI-trim and CPI-median core gauges slowed only to 2.3%, signaling underlying pressures from shelter costs and potential energy shocks. The BoC held its policy rate steady at 2.25% on March 18, with forecasts like RBC's eyeing a Q2 peak near 3% before settling at 2.4% year-end. Key swing factors include wage dynamics and geopolitics; watch March CPI release on April 20 and BoC's April 29 meeting for resolution catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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