Recent energy price spikes from Middle East supply disruptions have lifted Canada's headline CPI to 2.8% year-over-year in April 2026, the highest in two years and above the prior 2.4% print, though still below consensus. The Bank of Canada now projects a 3.0% average inflation rate for the full year 2026 before easing toward its 2% target in 2027, reflecting partial offsets from subdued growth, soft labor markets, and contained core measures near 2.0-2.1%. Trader consensus across closely matched outcome bins underscores uncertainty over whether temporary energy effects will dominate the annual average or be limited by excess supply and stable expectations, with the next CPI release due June 22 providing fresh signals ahead of potential policy adjustments.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2.0~2.4% 20.0%
1.0~1.4% 5.8%
4.0% 이상 <1%
1.0% 미만 0
$16,471 거래량
$16,471 거래량
1.0% 미만
44%
1.0~1.4%
6%
1.5–1.9%
43%
2.0~2.4%
20%
2.5–2.9%
40%
3.0-3.4%
31%
3.5-3.9%
33%
4.0% 이상
1%
2.0~2.4% 20.0%
1.0~1.4% 5.8%
4.0% 이상 <1%
1.0% 미만 0
$16,471 거래량
$16,471 거래량
1.0% 미만
44%
1.0~1.4%
6%
1.5–1.9%
43%
2.0~2.4%
20%
2.5–2.9%
40%
3.0-3.4%
31%
3.5-3.9%
33%
4.0% 이상
1%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
마켓 개설일: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent energy price spikes from Middle East supply disruptions have lifted Canada's headline CPI to 2.8% year-over-year in April 2026, the highest in two years and above the prior 2.4% print, though still below consensus. The Bank of Canada now projects a 3.0% average inflation rate for the full year 2026 before easing toward its 2% target in 2027, reflecting partial offsets from subdued growth, soft labor markets, and contained core measures near 2.0-2.1%. Trader consensus across closely matched outcome bins underscores uncertainty over whether temporary energy effects will dominate the annual average or be limited by excess supply and stable expectations, with the next CPI release due June 22 providing fresh signals ahead of potential policy adjustments.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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