Recent upward revisions to RBI inflation projections for FY27—to 5.1 percent, with quarterly peaks near 5.9 percent—reflect heightened risks from the Middle East conflict elevating global energy and fertilizer costs, which have lifted May 2026 CPI to 3.93 percent and food inflation to 4.78 percent. Persistent supply-chain pressures, potential monsoon shortfalls, and a neutral monetary policy stance holding the repo rate at 5.25 percent reinforce trader expectations that annual inflation will exceed 4.50 percent. Market-implied odds heavily favor this range as the consensus view of sustained above-target pressures through year-end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트4.50% 이상 76%
3.75%에서 4.49% 14.8%
1.50%에서 2.24% 9.9%
<0.75% 5.0%
$61,782 거래량
$61,782 거래량
2027.01.12
<0.75%
5%
0.75%에서 1.49%
1%
1.50%에서 2.24%
10%
2.25%에서 2.99%
1%
3.00%에서 3.74%
35%
3.75%에서 4.49%
15%
4.50% 이상
76%
4.50% 이상 76%
3.75%에서 4.49% 14.8%
1.50%에서 2.24% 9.9%
<0.75% 5.0%
$61,782 거래량
$61,782 거래량
2027.01.12
<0.75%
$838 거래량
5%
0.75%에서 1.49%
$558 거래량
1%
1.50%에서 2.24%
$447 거래량
10%
2.25%에서 2.99%
$24,206 거래량
1%
3.00%에서 3.74%
$768 거래량
35%
3.75%에서 4.49%
$23,426 거래량
15%
4.50% 이상
$11,538 거래량
76%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfRecent upward revisions to RBI inflation projections for FY27—to 5.1 percent, with quarterly peaks near 5.9 percent—reflect heightened risks from the Middle East conflict elevating global energy and fertilizer costs, which have lifted May 2026 CPI to 3.93 percent and food inflation to 4.78 percent. Persistent supply-chain pressures, potential monsoon shortfalls, and a neutral monetary policy stance holding the repo rate at 5.25 percent reinforce trader expectations that annual inflation will exceed 4.50 percent. Market-implied odds heavily favor this range as the consensus view of sustained above-target pressures through year-end.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
마켓 개설일: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
거래량
$61,782종료일
2027.01.12마켓 개설일
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfRecent upward revisions to RBI inflation projections for FY27—to 5.1 percent, with quarterly peaks near 5.9 percent—reflect heightened risks from the Middle East conflict elevating global energy and fertilizer costs, which have lifted May 2026 CPI to 3.93 percent and food inflation to 4.78 percent. Persistent supply-chain pressures, potential monsoon shortfalls, and a neutral monetary policy stance holding the repo rate at 5.25 percent reinforce trader expectations that annual inflation will exceed 4.50 percent. Market-implied odds heavily favor this range as the consensus view of sustained above-target pressures through year-end.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
거래량
$61,782종료일
2027.01.12마켓 개설일
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent upward revisions to RBI inflation projections for FY27—to 5.1 percent, with quarterly peaks near 5.9 percent—reflect heightened risks from the Middle East conflict elevating global energy and fertilizer costs, which have lifted May 2026 CPI to 3.93 percent and food inflation to 4.78 percent. Persistent supply-chain pressures, potential monsoon shortfalls, and a neutral monetary policy stance holding the repo rate at 5.25 percent reinforce trader expectations that annual inflation will exceed 4.50 percent. Market-implied odds heavily favor this range as the consensus view of sustained above-target pressures through year-end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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