Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) to secure the most seats in Assam's 126-member Legislative Assembly, with 96.5% implied probability reflecting pre-poll surveys like Matrize and C-Voter projecting an NDA landslide of 80-100 seats. This commanding position stems from the BJP-led NDA's finalized seat-sharing—BJP on 89 constituencies, AGP 26, BPF 11—incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's high approval as top CM choice in polls, and a record 85% voter turnout during single-phase polling on April 9 amid peaceful conditions. Congress trails despite Gaurav Gogoi's candidacy, hampered by leader exits. Results counting begins May 4; rare challenges could include vote-splitting reversals or counting disputes altering the majority.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트BJP 96.4%
인도 국민회의(INC) 2.8%
AITC <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$61,510 거래량
$61,510 거래량
2026.05.20
BJP
96%
인도 국민회의(INC)
3%
AITC
<1%
CPI(M)
<1%
NCP
<1%
AIUDF
<1%
BPF
<1%
CPI
<1%
NPEP
<1%
AGP
<1%
BJP 96.4%
인도 국민회의(INC) 2.8%
AITC <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$61,510 거래량
$61,510 거래량
2026.05.20
BJP
$12,019 거래량
96%
인도 국민회의(INC)
$7,437 거래량
3%
AITC
$4,520 거래량
<1%
CPI(M)
$4,848 거래량
<1%
NCP
$4,223 거래량
<1%
AIUDF
$4,934 거래량
<1%
BPF
$4,475 거래량
<1%
CPI
$9,172 거래량
<1%
NPEP
$5,222 거래량
<1%
AGP
$4,660 거래량
<1%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) to secure the most seats in Assam's 126-member Legislative Assembly, with 96.5% implied probability reflecting pre-poll surveys like Matrize and C-Voter projecting an NDA landslide of 80-100 seats. This commanding position stems from the BJP-led NDA's finalized seat-sharing—BJP on 89 constituencies, AGP 26, BPF 11—incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's high approval as top CM choice in polls, and a record 85% voter turnout during single-phase polling on April 9 amid peaceful conditions. Congress trails despite Gaurav Gogoi's candidacy, hampered by leader exits. Results counting begins May 4; rare challenges could include vote-splitting reversals or counting disputes altering the majority.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
마켓 개설일: Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET
거래량
$61,510종료일
2026.04.09마켓 개설일
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) to secure the most seats in Assam's 126-member Legislative Assembly, with 96.5% implied probability reflecting pre-poll surveys like Matrize and C-Voter projecting an NDA landslide of 80-100 seats. This commanding position stems from the BJP-led NDA's finalized seat-sharing—BJP on 89 constituencies, AGP 26, BPF 11—incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's high approval as top CM choice in polls, and a record 85% voter turnout during single-phase polling on April 9 amid peaceful conditions. Congress trails despite Gaurav Gogoi's candidacy, hampered by leader exits. Results counting begins May 4; rare challenges could include vote-splitting reversals or counting disputes altering the majority.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
거래량
$61,510종료일
2026.04.09마켓 개설일
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) to secure the most seats in Assam's 126-member Legislative Assembly, with 96.5% implied probability reflecting pre-poll surveys like Matrize and C-Voter projecting an NDA landslide of 80-100 seats. This commanding position stems from the BJP-led NDA's finalized seat-sharing—BJP on 89 constituencies, AGP 26, BPF 11—incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's high approval as top CM choice in polls, and a record 85% voter turnout during single-phase polling on April 9 amid peaceful conditions. Congress trails despite Gaurav Gogoi's candidacy, hampered by leader exits. Results counting begins May 4; rare challenges could include vote-splitting reversals or counting disputes altering the majority.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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