China's March 2026 CPI rose 1.0% year-on-year—below the 1.2% consensus forecast and down from February's 1.3% three-year high—driving Polymarket trader consensus toward modest annual inflation, with the 0.6–1.0% bracket at 38.5% implied probability and 1.1–1.5% at 22.5%. Q1 CPI averaged 0.9%, aligning with analyst revisions like Focus Economics' 0.6% and BofA's 0.7% full-year projections, amid persistent weak domestic demand, property sector headwinds, and deflation risks despite positive PPI at 0.5% from elevated global oil prices. Beijing's ~2% CPI target faces skepticism, as core CPI eased to 1.1%; upcoming April data and fiscal stimulus details could shift sentiment.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트0.6 – 1.0% 39%
1.1 – 1.5% 23%
0.1 – 0.5% 17%
2.5%+ 11.6%
$32,280 거래량
$32,280 거래량
2027.01.10
<-1.0%
2%
-0.9 – -0.5%
6%
-0.4 – 0.0%
3%
0.1 – 0.5%
17%
0.6 – 1.0%
39%
1.1 – 1.5%
23%
1.6 – 2.0%
7%
2.0-2.4%
6%
2.5%+
12%
0.6 – 1.0% 39%
1.1 – 1.5% 23%
0.1 – 0.5% 17%
2.5%+ 11.6%
$32,280 거래량
$32,280 거래량
2027.01.10
<-1.0%
$16,784 거래량
2%
-0.9 – -0.5%
$1,768 거래량
6%
-0.4 – 0.0%
$1,803 거래량
3%
0.1 – 0.5%
$1,849 거래량
17%
0.6 – 1.0%
$1,979 거래량
39%
1.1 – 1.5%
$2,332 거래량
23%
1.6 – 2.0%
$2,529 거래량
7%
2.0-2.4%
$1,647 거래량
6%
2.5%+
$1,589 거래량
12%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China's March 2026 CPI rose 1.0% year-on-year—below the 1.2% consensus forecast and down from February's 1.3% three-year high—driving Polymarket trader consensus toward modest annual inflation, with the 0.6–1.0% bracket at 38.5% implied probability and 1.1–1.5% at 22.5%. Q1 CPI averaged 0.9%, aligning with analyst revisions like Focus Economics' 0.6% and BofA's 0.7% full-year projections, amid persistent weak domestic demand, property sector headwinds, and deflation risks despite positive PPI at 0.5% from elevated global oil prices. Beijing's ~2% CPI target faces skepticism, as core CPI eased to 1.1%; upcoming April data and fiscal stimulus details could shift sentiment.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
마켓 개설일: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
거래량
$32,280종료일
2027.01.10마켓 개설일
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China's March 2026 CPI rose 1.0% year-on-year—below the 1.2% consensus forecast and down from February's 1.3% three-year high—driving Polymarket trader consensus toward modest annual inflation, with the 0.6–1.0% bracket at 38.5% implied probability and 1.1–1.5% at 22.5%. Q1 CPI averaged 0.9%, aligning with analyst revisions like Focus Economics' 0.6% and BofA's 0.7% full-year projections, amid persistent weak domestic demand, property sector headwinds, and deflation risks despite positive PPI at 0.5% from elevated global oil prices. Beijing's ~2% CPI target faces skepticism, as core CPI eased to 1.1%; upcoming April data and fiscal stimulus details could shift sentiment.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
거래량
$32,280종료일
2027.01.10마켓 개설일
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...China's March 2026 CPI rose 1.0% year-on-year—below the 1.2% consensus forecast and down from February's 1.3% three-year high—driving Polymarket trader consensus toward modest annual inflation, with the 0.6–1.0% bracket at 38.5% implied probability and 1.1–1.5% at 22.5%. Q1 CPI averaged 0.9%, aligning with analyst revisions like Focus Economics' 0.6% and BofA's 0.7% full-year projections, amid persistent weak domestic demand, property sector headwinds, and deflation risks despite positive PPI at 0.5% from elevated global oil prices. Beijing's ~2% CPI target faces skepticism, as core CPI eased to 1.1%; upcoming April data and fiscal stimulus details could shift sentiment.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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