Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 44.5% implied probability for Eurozone annual GDP growth of 1.0-2.0% in 2026, aligning with ECB staff projections of 0.9% from March and prior surveys around 1.2%, supported by resilient Q4 2025 expansion of 0.3% quarter-on-quarter and household demand. The 27.9% odds on 0-1.0% reflect fresh downside risks, as the IMF slashed its forecast to 1.1% on April 14 amid surging oil prices from Iran tensions, while UBS cut to 0.8% citing energy shocks. Higher brackets trail due to structural drags like weak German industrial output. Key catalyst ahead: Eurostat's Q1 flash GDP estimate due late April, which could shift rate expectations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트1.0-2.0% 46%
0-1.0% 42.0%
4.0-5.0% 16.7%
7.0%+ 15.6%
신규
신규
2027.01.31
<0%
10%
0-1.0%
28%
1.0-2.0%
47%
2.0-3.0%
14%
3.0-4.0%
19%
4.0-5.0%
17%
5.0-6.0%
6%
6.0-7.0%
3%
7.0%+
16%
1.0-2.0% 46%
0-1.0% 42.0%
4.0-5.0% 16.7%
7.0%+ 15.6%
신규
신규
2027.01.31
<0%
$593 거래량
10%
0-1.0%
$425 거래량
28%
1.0-2.0%
$1,245 거래량
47%
2.0-3.0%
$547 거래량
14%
3.0-4.0%
$469 거래량
19%
4.0-5.0%
$1,378 거래량
17%
5.0-6.0%
$479 거래량
6%
6.0-7.0%
$527 거래량
3%
7.0%+
$333 거래량
16%
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 44.5% implied probability for Eurozone annual GDP growth of 1.0-2.0% in 2026, aligning with ECB staff projections of 0.9% from March and prior surveys around 1.2%, supported by resilient Q4 2025 expansion of 0.3% quarter-on-quarter and household demand. The 27.9% odds on 0-1.0% reflect fresh downside risks, as the IMF slashed its forecast to 1.1% on April 14 amid surging oil prices from Iran tensions, while UBS cut to 0.8% citing energy shocks. Higher brackets trail due to structural drags like weak German industrial output. Key catalyst ahead: Eurostat's Q1 flash GDP estimate due late April, which could shift rate expectations.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
거래량
$5,997종료일
2027.01.31마켓 개설일
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 44.5% implied probability for Eurozone annual GDP growth of 1.0-2.0% in 2026, aligning with ECB staff projections of 0.9% from March and prior surveys around 1.2%, supported by resilient Q4 2025 expansion of 0.3% quarter-on-quarter and household demand. The 27.9% odds on 0-1.0% reflect fresh downside risks, as the IMF slashed its forecast to 1.1% on April 14 amid surging oil prices from Iran tensions, while UBS cut to 0.8% citing energy shocks. Higher brackets trail due to structural drags like weak German industrial output. Key catalyst ahead: Eurostat's Q1 flash GDP estimate due late April, which could shift rate expectations.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$5,997종료일
2027.01.31마켓 개설일
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 44.5% implied probability for Eurozone annual GDP growth of 1.0-2.0% in 2026, aligning with ECB staff projections of 0.9% from March and prior surveys around 1.2%, supported by resilient Q4 2025 expansion of 0.3% quarter-on-quarter and household demand. The 27.9% odds on 0-1.0% reflect fresh downside risks, as the IMF slashed its forecast to 1.1% on April 14 amid surging oil prices from Iran tensions, while UBS cut to 0.8% citing energy shocks. Higher brackets trail due to structural drags like weak German industrial output. Key catalyst ahead: Eurostat's Q1 flash GDP estimate due late April, which could shift rate expectations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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