Polymarket traders price Mexico's 2026 annual CPI inflation—measured as the year-over-year change ending December—in a tight contest, with 3.00%-3.49% leading at 28.6% implied probability amid closely matched outcomes up to 5.49%. March 2026 headline inflation accelerated to 4.59% from 4.02%, driven by agricultural products and energy, while core held steady near 4.45%; yet Banco de México's unexpected 25 basis point cut to 6.75% on March 26 signals confidence in disinflation toward its 3% target, aligning with IMF's 3.9% year-end forecast. Competitive dynamics hinge on food price volatility versus easing monetary policy—expected at 6.50% by December—and peso stability around 17.3 USD/MXN; watch April CPI release and May 6 Banxico meeting for swings.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트3.50%에서 3.99% 37.5%
3.00%에서 3.49% 29.4%
2.50% 미만 22.7%
4.50%에서 4.99% 19%
$34,771 거래량
$34,771 거래량
2.50% 미만
23%
2.50%에서 2.99%
1%
3.00%에서 3.49%
29%
3.50%에서 3.99%
26%
4.00%에서 4.49%
24%
4.50%에서 4.99%
22%
5.00%에서 5.49%
26%
5.50% 이상
13%
3.50%에서 3.99% 37.5%
3.00%에서 3.49% 29.4%
2.50% 미만 22.7%
4.50%에서 4.99% 19%
$34,771 거래량
$34,771 거래량
2.50% 미만
23%
2.50%에서 2.99%
1%
3.00%에서 3.49%
29%
3.50%에서 3.99%
26%
4.00%에서 4.49%
24%
4.50%에서 4.99%
22%
5.00%에서 5.49%
26%
5.50% 이상
13%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
마켓 개설일: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price Mexico's 2026 annual CPI inflation—measured as the year-over-year change ending December—in a tight contest, with 3.00%-3.49% leading at 28.6% implied probability amid closely matched outcomes up to 5.49%. March 2026 headline inflation accelerated to 4.59% from 4.02%, driven by agricultural products and energy, while core held steady near 4.45%; yet Banco de México's unexpected 25 basis point cut to 6.75% on March 26 signals confidence in disinflation toward its 3% target, aligning with IMF's 3.9% year-end forecast. Competitive dynamics hinge on food price volatility versus easing monetary policy—expected at 6.50% by December—and peso stability around 17.3 USD/MXN; watch April CPI release and May 6 Banxico meeting for swings.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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