Recent inflation data and firm labor market conditions have driven the near-even 53.5% market-implied probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026. April CPI rose 3.8% year-over-year, with May figures expected near 4.2% amid energy price pressures from geopolitical tensions, pushing core measures higher and reducing expectations for cuts. The FOMC has maintained the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% while signaling a shift away from easing bias under new leadership. Upcoming catalysts include the June 10 CPI release and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, where any hawkish language or revised dot plot could tip odds toward hikes, while softer data might reinforce the status quo.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$1,584,393 거래량
$1,584,393 거래량
2026.12.09
예
$1,584,393 거래량
$1,584,393 거래량
2026.12.09
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent inflation data and firm labor market conditions have driven the near-even 53.5% market-implied probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026. April CPI rose 3.8% year-over-year, with May figures expected near 4.2% amid energy price pressures from geopolitical tensions, pushing core measures higher and reducing expectations for cuts. The FOMC has maintained the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% while signaling a shift away from easing bias under new leadership. Upcoming catalysts include the June 10 CPI release and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, where any hawkish language or revised dot plot could tip odds toward hikes, while softer data might reinforce the status quo.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
거래량
$1,584,393종료일
2026.12.09마켓 개설일
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent inflation data and firm labor market conditions have driven the near-even 53.5% market-implied probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026. April CPI rose 3.8% year-over-year, with May figures expected near 4.2% amid energy price pressures from geopolitical tensions, pushing core measures higher and reducing expectations for cuts. The FOMC has maintained the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% while signaling a shift away from easing bias under new leadership. Upcoming catalysts include the June 10 CPI release and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, where any hawkish language or revised dot plot could tip odds toward hikes, while softer data might reinforce the status quo.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$1,584,403종료일
2026.12.09마켓 개설일
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent inflation data and firm labor market conditions have driven the near-even 53.5% market-implied probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026. April CPI rose 3.8% year-over-year, with May figures expected near 4.2% amid energy price pressures from geopolitical tensions, pushing core measures higher and reducing expectations for cuts. The FOMC has maintained the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% while signaling a shift away from easing bias under new leadership. Upcoming catalysts include the June 10 CPI release and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, where any hawkish language or revised dot plot could tip odds toward hikes, while softer data might reinforce the status quo.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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