Persistent inflation pressures from geopolitical conflicts, with May 2026 CPI at 4.2% and PCE near 3.8%, combined with a resilient labor market evidenced by strong May payrolls, have kept the Fed on hold at its 3.50%-3.75% target range. A Reuters poll shows nearly 70% of economists now expect rates unchanged through year-end, while CME FedWatch futures assign only modest odds to hikes by December. The upcoming June 17 FOMC meeting, likely to maintain the status quo under new leadership, reinforces the market-implied 63.5% probability of no 2026 rate increase as traders price in a prolonged pause over further tightening.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$1,877,249 거래량
$1,877,249 거래량
2026.12.09
예
$1,877,249 거래량
$1,877,249 거래량
2026.12.09
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent inflation pressures from geopolitical conflicts, with May 2026 CPI at 4.2% and PCE near 3.8%, combined with a resilient labor market evidenced by strong May payrolls, have kept the Fed on hold at its 3.50%-3.75% target range. A Reuters poll shows nearly 70% of economists now expect rates unchanged through year-end, while CME FedWatch futures assign only modest odds to hikes by December. The upcoming June 17 FOMC meeting, likely to maintain the status quo under new leadership, reinforces the market-implied 63.5% probability of no 2026 rate increase as traders price in a prolonged pause over further tightening.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
거래량
$1,877,249종료일
2026.12.09마켓 개설일
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent inflation pressures from geopolitical conflicts, with May 2026 CPI at 4.2% and PCE near 3.8%, combined with a resilient labor market evidenced by strong May payrolls, have kept the Fed on hold at its 3.50%-3.75% target range. A Reuters poll shows nearly 70% of economists now expect rates unchanged through year-end, while CME FedWatch futures assign only modest odds to hikes by December. The upcoming June 17 FOMC meeting, likely to maintain the status quo under new leadership, reinforces the market-implied 63.5% probability of no 2026 rate increase as traders price in a prolonged pause over further tightening.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$1,877,428종료일
2026.12.09마켓 개설일
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation pressures from geopolitical conflicts, with May 2026 CPI at 4.2% and PCE near 3.8%, combined with a resilient labor market evidenced by strong May payrolls, have kept the Fed on hold at its 3.50%-3.75% target range. A Reuters poll shows nearly 70% of economists now expect rates unchanged through year-end, while CME FedWatch futures assign only modest odds to hikes by December. The upcoming June 17 FOMC meeting, likely to maintain the status quo under new leadership, reinforces the market-implied 63.5% probability of no 2026 rate increase as traders price in a prolonged pause over further tightening.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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