The DOJ closed its criminal probe into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on April 24, 2026, after launching it in January over his congressional testimony on headquarters renovation costs. U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro referred the matter to the Fed inspector general while noting the office could restart the inquiry if warranted, removing a key Senate hurdle for Kevin Warsh’s confirmation as successor. Powell’s chair term ended May 15 but he remains a governor through 2028. With no subsequent announcements or actions as of mid-June, traders assign over 98% probability against reopening by late June, reflecting the probe’s recent termination, institutional handoff, and absence of new catalysts that could revive it before scheduled resolution windows.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$49,412 거래량
June 30
1%
$49,412 거래량
June 30
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Department of Justice reopens this criminal investigation of Powell, or opens a new criminal investigation of Powell, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell, this will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
An official announcement from the United States Department of Justice that the investigation has been reopened, or that a new investigation against Powell has been opened, will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”.
Statements or reports that the Department of Justice is considering allegations or potential investigative action against Powell will not qualify, unless they explicitly indicate that a criminal investigation into Powell has been reopened or opened.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Department of Justice, including any relevant United States Attorney’s Office; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: May 3, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Department of Justice reopens this criminal investigation of Powell, or opens a new criminal investigation of Powell, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell, this will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
An official announcement from the United States Department of Justice that the investigation has been reopened, or that a new investigation against Powell has been opened, will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”.
Statements or reports that the Department of Justice is considering allegations or potential investigative action against Powell will not qualify, unless they explicitly indicate that a criminal investigation into Powell has been reopened or opened.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Department of Justice, including any relevant United States Attorney’s Office; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The DOJ closed its criminal probe into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on April 24, 2026, after launching it in January over his congressional testimony on headquarters renovation costs. U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro referred the matter to the Fed inspector general while noting the office could restart the inquiry if warranted, removing a key Senate hurdle for Kevin Warsh’s confirmation as successor. Powell’s chair term ended May 15 but he remains a governor through 2028. With no subsequent announcements or actions as of mid-June, traders assign over 98% probability against reopening by late June, reflecting the probe’s recent termination, institutional handoff, and absence of new catalysts that could revive it before scheduled resolution windows.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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