Jerome Powell's term as Fed Chair concluded in mid-May 2026, with Kevin Warsh sworn in as successor amid narrow Senate confirmation and ongoing political friction with the Trump administration. Powell retains his Board governor seat through January 2028 and has signaled he will remain until a headquarters construction investigation reaches resolution with transparency. This stance, coupled with legal challenges to any removal attempt and Fed independence concerns, anchors trader sentiment against near-term exit. Key upcoming catalysts include further clarity on the probe timeline, FOMC communications, and potential administration pressure, though no fresh economic data releases or filings have shifted implied probabilities materially since the chair transition. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on these structural and political barriers rather than forecasts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$421,457 거래량
2026.12.31
12월 31일
40%
$421,457 거래량
12월 31일
$134,866 거래량
40%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell's term as Fed Chair concluded in mid-May 2026, with Kevin Warsh sworn in as successor amid narrow Senate confirmation and ongoing political friction with the Trump administration. Powell retains his Board governor seat through January 2028 and has signaled he will remain until a headquarters construction investigation reaches resolution with transparency. This stance, coupled with legal challenges to any removal attempt and Fed independence concerns, anchors trader sentiment against near-term exit. Key upcoming catalysts include further clarity on the probe timeline, FOMC communications, and potential administration pressure, though no fresh economic data releases or filings have shifted implied probabilities materially since the chair transition. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on these structural and political barriers rather than forecasts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
마켓 개설일: Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
거래량
$421,457종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell's term as Fed Chair concluded in mid-May 2026, with Kevin Warsh sworn in as successor amid narrow Senate confirmation and ongoing political friction with the Trump administration. Powell retains his Board governor seat through January 2028 and has signaled he will remain until a headquarters construction investigation reaches resolution with transparency. This stance, coupled with legal challenges to any removal attempt and Fed independence concerns, anchors trader sentiment against near-term exit. Key upcoming catalysts include further clarity on the probe timeline, FOMC communications, and potential administration pressure, though no fresh economic data releases or filings have shifted implied probabilities materially since the chair transition. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on these structural and political barriers rather than forecasts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
거래량
$421,457종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell's term as Fed Chair concluded in mid-May 2026, with Kevin Warsh sworn in as successor amid narrow Senate confirmation and ongoing political friction with the Trump administration. Powell retains his Board governor seat through January 2028 and has signaled he will remain until a headquarters construction investigation reaches resolution with transparency. This stance, coupled with legal challenges to any removal attempt and Fed independence concerns, anchors trader sentiment against near-term exit. Key upcoming catalysts include further clarity on the probe timeline, FOMC communications, and potential administration pressure, though no fresh economic data releases or filings have shifted implied probabilities materially since the chair transition. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on these structural and political barriers rather than forecasts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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