Strong US economic resilience, with inflation at 3.8% year-over-year in April 2026 amid energy price pressures and unemployment holding steady near 4.3%, underpins the 90% market-implied odds against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027. The FOMC has maintained the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% through recent meetings, projecting at most one modest 25-basis-point adjustment in 2026 while signaling a data-dependent stance amid balanced risks to its dual mandate. Absent acute financial stresses or sharp labor market deterioration, traders price in low odds of an unscheduled policy response, consistent with forward curves showing limited volatility and historical patterns where emergency easing follows major shocks. The June 16-17 FOMC meeting and upcoming CPI releases represent near-term catalysts that could reinforce or modestly shift this consensus if growth or inflation surprises materially.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$105,450 거래량
$105,450 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$105,450 거래량
$105,450 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Strong US economic resilience, with inflation at 3.8% year-over-year in April 2026 amid energy price pressures and unemployment holding steady near 4.3%, underpins the 90% market-implied odds against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027. The FOMC has maintained the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% through recent meetings, projecting at most one modest 25-basis-point adjustment in 2026 while signaling a data-dependent stance amid balanced risks to its dual mandate. Absent acute financial stresses or sharp labor market deterioration, traders price in low odds of an unscheduled policy response, consistent with forward curves showing limited volatility and historical patterns where emergency easing follows major shocks. The June 16-17 FOMC meeting and upcoming CPI releases represent near-term catalysts that could reinforce or modestly shift this consensus if growth or inflation surprises materially.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
마켓 개설일: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
거래량
$105,450종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Strong US economic resilience, with inflation at 3.8% year-over-year in April 2026 amid energy price pressures and unemployment holding steady near 4.3%, underpins the 90% market-implied odds against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027. The FOMC has maintained the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% through recent meetings, projecting at most one modest 25-basis-point adjustment in 2026 while signaling a data-dependent stance amid balanced risks to its dual mandate. Absent acute financial stresses or sharp labor market deterioration, traders price in low odds of an unscheduled policy response, consistent with forward curves showing limited volatility and historical patterns where emergency easing follows major shocks. The June 16-17 FOMC meeting and upcoming CPI releases represent near-term catalysts that could reinforce or modestly shift this consensus if growth or inflation surprises materially.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
거래량
$105,450종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Strong US economic resilience, with inflation at 3.8% year-over-year in April 2026 amid energy price pressures and unemployment holding steady near 4.3%, underpins the 90% market-implied odds against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027. The FOMC has maintained the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% through recent meetings, projecting at most one modest 25-basis-point adjustment in 2026 while signaling a data-dependent stance amid balanced risks to its dual mandate. Absent acute financial stresses or sharp labor market deterioration, traders price in low odds of an unscheduled policy response, consistent with forward curves showing limited volatility and historical patterns where emergency easing follows major shocks. The June 16-17 FOMC meeting and upcoming CPI releases represent near-term catalysts that could reinforce or modestly shift this consensus if growth or inflation surprises materially.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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