Elevated inflation readings, including April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year, combined with a resilient labor market showing unemployment near 4.3% and solid May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000 jobs, have anchored the federal funds rate in the 3.50–3.75% target range. This data-dependent Fed stance, reinforced by recent FOMC communications and forward curves pricing limited policy adjustment through year-end, drives the 90% market-implied probability against an emergency cut before 2027. Persistent price pressures above the 2% target and stable employment conditions limit scope for intermeeting action absent a major growth shock. The June 16–17 FOMC meeting and upcoming CPI release remain key near-term catalysts that could influence trader consensus on the rate path.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$105,450 거래량
$105,450 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$105,450 거래량
$105,450 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Elevated inflation readings, including April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year, combined with a resilient labor market showing unemployment near 4.3% and solid May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000 jobs, have anchored the federal funds rate in the 3.50–3.75% target range. This data-dependent Fed stance, reinforced by recent FOMC communications and forward curves pricing limited policy adjustment through year-end, drives the 90% market-implied probability against an emergency cut before 2027. Persistent price pressures above the 2% target and stable employment conditions limit scope for intermeeting action absent a major growth shock. The June 16–17 FOMC meeting and upcoming CPI release remain key near-term catalysts that could influence trader consensus on the rate path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
마켓 개설일: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
거래량
$105,450종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Elevated inflation readings, including April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year, combined with a resilient labor market showing unemployment near 4.3% and solid May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000 jobs, have anchored the federal funds rate in the 3.50–3.75% target range. This data-dependent Fed stance, reinforced by recent FOMC communications and forward curves pricing limited policy adjustment through year-end, drives the 90% market-implied probability against an emergency cut before 2027. Persistent price pressures above the 2% target and stable employment conditions limit scope for intermeeting action absent a major growth shock. The June 16–17 FOMC meeting and upcoming CPI release remain key near-term catalysts that could influence trader consensus on the rate path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
거래량
$105,450종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Elevated inflation readings, including April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year, combined with a resilient labor market showing unemployment near 4.3% and solid May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000 jobs, have anchored the federal funds rate in the 3.50–3.75% target range. This data-dependent Fed stance, reinforced by recent FOMC communications and forward curves pricing limited policy adjustment through year-end, drives the 90% market-implied probability against an emergency cut before 2027. Persistent price pressures above the 2% target and stable employment conditions limit scope for intermeeting action absent a major growth shock. The June 16–17 FOMC meeting and upcoming CPI release remain key near-term catalysts that could influence trader consensus on the rate path.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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