Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 90.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting resilient U.S. economic conditions that preclude crisis-level intervention. The March 18, 2026 FOMC meeting held the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75%, with minutes released April 8 highlighting persistent inflation pressures from the Iran war despite a recent ceasefire, alongside a stable unemployment rate near 4.3% and March CPI showing modest softening in supercore measures. Officials project just one scheduled cut this year amid uncertainty, underscoring no urgency for unscheduled action. Realistic challenges include a sharp labor market deterioration, financial instability, or deflationary shock that could prompt ad-hoc FOMC response ahead of the May or June meetings.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$100,263 거래량
$100,263 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$100,263 거래량
$100,263 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 90.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting resilient U.S. economic conditions that preclude crisis-level intervention. The March 18, 2026 FOMC meeting held the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75%, with minutes released April 8 highlighting persistent inflation pressures from the Iran war despite a recent ceasefire, alongside a stable unemployment rate near 4.3% and March CPI showing modest softening in supercore measures. Officials project just one scheduled cut this year amid uncertainty, underscoring no urgency for unscheduled action. Realistic challenges include a sharp labor market deterioration, financial instability, or deflationary shock that could prompt ad-hoc FOMC response ahead of the May or June meetings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
마켓 개설일: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
거래량
$100,263종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 90.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting resilient U.S. economic conditions that preclude crisis-level intervention. The March 18, 2026 FOMC meeting held the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75%, with minutes released April 8 highlighting persistent inflation pressures from the Iran war despite a recent ceasefire, alongside a stable unemployment rate near 4.3% and March CPI showing modest softening in supercore measures. Officials project just one scheduled cut this year amid uncertainty, underscoring no urgency for unscheduled action. Realistic challenges include a sharp labor market deterioration, financial instability, or deflationary shock that could prompt ad-hoc FOMC response ahead of the May or June meetings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
거래량
$100,263종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 90.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting resilient U.S. economic conditions that preclude crisis-level intervention. The March 18, 2026 FOMC meeting held the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75%, with minutes released April 8 highlighting persistent inflation pressures from the Iran war despite a recent ceasefire, alongside a stable unemployment rate near 4.3% and March CPI showing modest softening in supercore measures. Officials project just one scheduled cut this year amid uncertainty, underscoring no urgency for unscheduled action. Realistic challenges include a sharp labor market deterioration, financial instability, or deflationary shock that could prompt ad-hoc FOMC response ahead of the May or June meetings.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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