Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5–2.0 trillion at 38.5% implied probability, reflecting robust Starlink subscriber growth, Starship reusability milestones, and cash flow positivity amid a confidential S-1 filing last week targeting a June 2026 listing. Recent Bloomberg reports of an upsized $2 trillion+ valuation goal—up from $1.75 trillion—along with a planned $75 billion raise and 20–30% retail allocation, have boosted sentiment for $2.0–2.5 trillion outcomes at 22.5%, though traders discount higher bins due to Starship Flight 12 risks and volatile public market reception. Private tender valuations near $1 trillion in February underscore execution hurdles ahead of the June roadshow.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$1,798,244 거래량
$1,798,244 거래량
1.0조 달러 미만
3%
1.0조~1.5조
6%
1.5조~2.0조 달러
39%
2.0조~2.5조
23%
2.5조-3.0조
13%
3.0조~3.5조
12%
3.5조+
4%
2028년 이전에는 상장 없음
3%
$1,798,244 거래량
$1,798,244 거래량
1.0조 달러 미만
$55,470 거래량
3%
1.0조~1.5조
$37,508 거래량
6%
1.5조~2.0조 달러
$51,633 거래량
39%
2.0조~2.5조
$49,414 거래량
23%
2.5조-3.0조
$807,102 거래량
13%
3.0조~3.5조
$473,111 거래량
12%
3.5조+
$56,259 거래량
4%
2028년 이전에는 상장 없음
$267,747 거래량
3%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5–2.0 trillion at 38.5% implied probability, reflecting robust Starlink subscriber growth, Starship reusability milestones, and cash flow positivity amid a confidential S-1 filing last week targeting a June 2026 listing. Recent Bloomberg reports of an upsized $2 trillion+ valuation goal—up from $1.75 trillion—along with a planned $75 billion raise and 20–30% retail allocation, have boosted sentiment for $2.0–2.5 trillion outcomes at 22.5%, though traders discount higher bins due to Starship Flight 12 risks and volatile public market reception. Private tender valuations near $1 trillion in February underscore execution hurdles ahead of the June roadshow.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
마켓 개설일: Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
거래량
$1,798,244마켓 개설일
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5–2.0 trillion at 38.5% implied probability, reflecting robust Starlink subscriber growth, Starship reusability milestones, and cash flow positivity amid a confidential S-1 filing last week targeting a June 2026 listing. Recent Bloomberg reports of an upsized $2 trillion+ valuation goal—up from $1.75 trillion—along with a planned $75 billion raise and 20–30% retail allocation, have boosted sentiment for $2.0–2.5 trillion outcomes at 22.5%, though traders discount higher bins due to Starship Flight 12 risks and volatile public market reception. Private tender valuations near $1 trillion in February underscore execution hurdles ahead of the June roadshow.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
거래량
$1,798,244마켓 개설일
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5–2.0 trillion at 38.5% implied probability, reflecting robust Starlink subscriber growth, Starship reusability milestones, and cash flow positivity amid a confidential S-1 filing last week targeting a June 2026 listing. Recent Bloomberg reports of an upsized $2 trillion+ valuation goal—up from $1.75 trillion—along with a planned $75 billion raise and 20–30% retail allocation, have boosted sentiment for $2.0–2.5 trillion outcomes at 22.5%, though traders discount higher bins due to Starship Flight 12 risks and volatile public market reception. Private tender valuations near $1 trillion in February underscore execution hurdles ahead of the June roadshow.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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