Google’s May 19 I/O 2026 announcement that Gemini 3.5 Pro would reach developers “next month” after the lighter Gemini 3.5 Flash launch remains the dominant catalyst, spreading market-implied odds across mid-to-late June dates with the tightest clustering around June 23 and 26. Traders appear to weigh Google’s history of phased rollouts—initial access for AI Ultra subscribers followed by broader API and Vertex availability—against the absence of a firm calendar or regulatory hurdles. Competitive pressure from OpenAI’s o3 and Anthropic’s Claude 4 series, plus internal benchmarks showing strong agentic gains, supports expectations of a June delivery, yet typical post-conference refinement cycles and the lack of a precise target keep probabilities closely contested rather than consolidated on any single day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 16일 34%
6월 17일 34%
6월 26일 34%
6월 12일 34%
신규
신규
2026.06.30
6월 26일
34%
6월 13일
30%
6월 23일
31%
6월 24일
33%
6월 2일 또는 그 이전
24%
6월 8일
32%
6월 10일
33%
6월 20일
30%
6월 3일
1%
6월 4일
22%
6월 5일
29%
6월 6일
25%
6월 15일
15%
6월 21일
32%
6월 25일
31%
6월 7일
17%
6월 9일
32%
6월 11일
31%
6월 12일
34%
6월 14일
28%
6월 16일
34%
6월 17일
34%
6월 18일
30%
6월 19일
32%
6월 30일
32%
6월 22일
31%
6월 27일
28%
6월 28일
3%
6월 29일
31%
6월 30일까지 미출시
14%
6월 16일 34%
6월 17일 34%
6월 26일 34%
6월 12일 34%
신규
신규
2026.06.30
6월 26일
$52 거래량
34%
6월 13일
$100 거래량
30%
6월 23일
$52 거래량
31%
6월 24일
$50 거래량
33%
6월 2일 또는 그 이전
$50 거래량
24%
6월 8일
$52 거래량
32%
6월 10일
$52 거래량
33%
6월 20일
$86 거래량
30%
6월 3일
$50 거래량
1%
6월 4일
$52 거래량
22%
6월 5일
$89 거래량
29%
6월 6일
$94 거래량
25%
6월 15일
$50 거래량
15%
6월 21일
$52 거래량
32%
6월 25일
$52 거래량
31%
6월 7일
$102 거래량
17%
6월 9일
$52 거래량
32%
6월 11일
$52 거래량
31%
6월 12일
$52 거래량
34%
6월 14일
$107 거래량
28%
6월 16일
$52 거래량
34%
6월 17일
$52 거래량
34%
6월 18일
$52 거래량
30%
6월 19일
$52 거래량
32%
6월 30일
$52 거래량
32%
6월 22일
$52 거래량
31%
6월 27일
$52 거래량
28%
6월 28일
$90 거래량
3%
6월 29일
$52 거래량
31%
6월 30일까지 미출시
$72 거래량
14%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s May 19 I/O 2026 announcement that Gemini 3.5 Pro would reach developers “next month” after the lighter Gemini 3.5 Flash launch remains the dominant catalyst, spreading market-implied odds across mid-to-late June dates with the tightest clustering around June 23 and 26. Traders appear to weigh Google’s history of phased rollouts—initial access for AI Ultra subscribers followed by broader API and Vertex availability—against the absence of a firm calendar or regulatory hurdles. Competitive pressure from OpenAI’s o3 and Anthropic’s Claude 4 series, plus internal benchmarks showing strong agentic gains, supports expectations of a June delivery, yet typical post-conference refinement cycles and the lack of a precise target keep probabilities closely contested rather than consolidated on any single day.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
거래량
$1,882종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s May 19 I/O 2026 announcement that Gemini 3.5 Pro would reach developers “next month” after the lighter Gemini 3.5 Flash launch remains the dominant catalyst, spreading market-implied odds across mid-to-late June dates with the tightest clustering around June 23 and 26. Traders appear to weigh Google’s history of phased rollouts—initial access for AI Ultra subscribers followed by broader API and Vertex availability—against the absence of a firm calendar or regulatory hurdles. Competitive pressure from OpenAI’s o3 and Anthropic’s Claude 4 series, plus internal benchmarks showing strong agentic gains, supports expectations of a June delivery, yet typical post-conference refinement cycles and the lack of a precise target keep probabilities closely contested rather than consolidated on any single day.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$1,882종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google’s May 19 I/O 2026 announcement that Gemini 3.5 Pro would reach developers “next month” after the lighter Gemini 3.5 Flash launch remains the dominant catalyst, spreading market-implied odds across mid-to-late June dates with the tightest clustering around June 23 and 26. Traders appear to weigh Google’s history of phased rollouts—initial access for AI Ultra subscribers followed by broader API and Vertex availability—against the absence of a firm calendar or regulatory hurdles. Competitive pressure from OpenAI’s o3 and Anthropic’s Claude 4 series, plus internal benchmarks showing strong agentic gains, supports expectations of a June delivery, yet typical post-conference refinement cycles and the lack of a precise target keep probabilities closely contested rather than consolidated on any single day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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