SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, targeting a June 2026 IPO with a valuation exceeding $2 trillion, anchors trader sentiment at 45.5% implied odds for 2.0T+, fueled by Starlink's surge to 9 million subscribers, $10B+ annual revenue, and high-margin EBITDA growth from its low-Earth orbit constellation. The April 14 launch of the 1,000th Starlink satellite of 2026—amid relentless Falcon 9 reusability and deployment cadence—bolsters confidence in scalable satellite broadband dominance, elevating adjacent bins like 1.8T–2.0T (17.5%) and 1.6T–1.8T (13.9%). Lower strikes signal caution on public market volatility and execution risks for Starship integration, with prospectus due late May and roadshow early June as pivotal catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2조 달러+ 46%
1.8조–2.0조 18%
1.6조–1.8조 13.9%
1.4조–1.6조 7.8%
$747,884 거래량
$747,884 거래량
2027.12.31
2028년 이전에 상장 없음
3%
1.0조 미만
4%
1.0조–1.2조
3%
1.2조~1.4조
4%
1.4조–1.6조
8%
1.6조–1.8조
14%
1.8조–2.0조
18%
2조 달러+
46%
2조 달러+ 46%
1.8조–2.0조 18%
1.6조–1.8조 13.9%
1.4조–1.6조 7.8%
$747,884 거래량
$747,884 거래량
2027.12.31
2028년 이전에 상장 없음
$153,560 거래량
3%
1.0조 미만
$51,780 거래량
4%
1.0조–1.2조
$31,545 거래량
3%
1.2조~1.4조
$53,571 거래량
4%
1.4조–1.6조
$101,517 거래량
8%
1.6조–1.8조
$102,660 거래량
14%
1.8조–2.0조
$83,489 거래량
18%
2조 달러+
$169,762 거래량
46%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, targeting a June 2026 IPO with a valuation exceeding $2 trillion, anchors trader sentiment at 45.5% implied odds for 2.0T+, fueled by Starlink's surge to 9 million subscribers, $10B+ annual revenue, and high-margin EBITDA growth from its low-Earth orbit constellation. The April 14 launch of the 1,000th Starlink satellite of 2026—amid relentless Falcon 9 reusability and deployment cadence—bolsters confidence in scalable satellite broadband dominance, elevating adjacent bins like 1.8T–2.0T (17.5%) and 1.6T–1.8T (13.9%). Lower strikes signal caution on public market volatility and execution risks for Starship integration, with prospectus due late May and roadshow early June as pivotal catalysts.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
마켓 개설일: Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
거래량
$747,884종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, targeting a June 2026 IPO with a valuation exceeding $2 trillion, anchors trader sentiment at 45.5% implied odds for 2.0T+, fueled by Starlink's surge to 9 million subscribers, $10B+ annual revenue, and high-margin EBITDA growth from its low-Earth orbit constellation. The April 14 launch of the 1,000th Starlink satellite of 2026—amid relentless Falcon 9 reusability and deployment cadence—bolsters confidence in scalable satellite broadband dominance, elevating adjacent bins like 1.8T–2.0T (17.5%) and 1.6T–1.8T (13.9%). Lower strikes signal caution on public market volatility and execution risks for Starship integration, with prospectus due late May and roadshow early June as pivotal catalysts.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
거래량
$747,884종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, targeting a June 2026 IPO with a valuation exceeding $2 trillion, anchors trader sentiment at 45.5% implied odds for 2.0T+, fueled by Starlink's surge to 9 million subscribers, $10B+ annual revenue, and high-margin EBITDA growth from its low-Earth orbit constellation. The April 14 launch of the 1,000th Starlink satellite of 2026—amid relentless Falcon 9 reusability and deployment cadence—bolsters confidence in scalable satellite broadband dominance, elevating adjacent bins like 1.8T–2.0T (17.5%) and 1.6T–1.8T (13.9%). Lower strikes signal caution on public market volatility and execution risks for Starship integration, with prospectus due late May and roadshow early June as pivotal catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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