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2026 필즈 메달은 누가 획득하나요?

Market icon

2026 필즈 메달은 누가 획득하나요?

$497,590 거래량

2026.07.30
Polymarket

$497,590 거래량

Polymarket

홍왕

$58,687 거래량

78%

제이콥 치머만

$51,781 거래량

66%

잭 손

$99,405 거래량

45%

존 파든

$83,837 거래량

44%

위덩

$112,708 거래량

37%

알렉산드르 로그노프

$181 거래량

35%

줄리안 사하스라부드헤

$84,224 거래량

31%

샘 라스킨

$2,447 거래량

22%

알렉산더 예피모프

$519 거래량

13%

윌 사윈

$3,800 거래량

16%

The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.Trader consensus for the 2026 Fields Medal hinges on landmark breakthroughs, with Hong Wang's 2025 resolution of the century-old three-dimensional Kakeya conjecture generating frontrunner momentum through its profound impact on geometric measure theory. Jacob Tsimerman's earlier Andre-Oort proof and contributions from Jack Thorne, John Pardon, and Yu Deng in number theory and topology sustain their competitive standing, while Julian Sahasrabudhe's recent Adams Prize in discrete mathematics and ICM 2026 speaking invitation spurred a sharp probability surge last week. Aleksandr Logunov faded amid multi-candidate dynamics. The secretive International Mathematical Union process—selecting up to four under-40 winners—defies prediction, with awards revealed at ICM Philadelphia, July 23-30, 2026, amid a boycott petition over U.S. hosting that has yet to alter industry narrative.

The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.

If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
거래량
$497,590
종료일
2026.07.30
마켓 개설일
Jan 6, 2026, 1:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.Trader consensus for the 2026 Fields Medal hinges on landmark breakthroughs, with Hong Wang's 2025 resolution of the century-old three-dimensional Kakeya conjecture generating frontrunner momentum through its profound impact on geometric measure theory. Jacob Tsimerman's earlier Andre-Oort proof and contributions from Jack Thorne, John Pardon, and Yu Deng in number theory and topology sustain their competitive standing, while Julian Sahasrabudhe's recent Adams Prize in discrete mathematics and ICM 2026 speaking invitation spurred a sharp probability surge last week. Aleksandr Logunov faded amid multi-candidate dynamics. The secretive International Mathematical Union process—selecting up to four under-40 winners—defies prediction, with awards revealed at ICM Philadelphia, July 23-30, 2026, amid a boycott petition over U.S. hosting that has yet to alter industry narrative.

The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.

If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
거래량
$497,590
종료일
2026.07.30
마켓 개설일
Jan 6, 2026, 1:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.

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자주 묻는 질문

"2026 필즈 메달은 누가 획득하나요?"은 10개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 78%의 "홍왕"이며, 이어서 66%의 "제이콥 치머만"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 78¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 78%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "2026 필즈 메달은 누가 획득하나요?"은 총 $497.6K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Jan 6, 2026에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"2026 필즈 메달은 누가 획득하나요?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 10개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"2026 필즈 메달은 누가 획득하나요?"의 현재 유력 후보는 78%의 "홍왕"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 78%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 66%의 "제이콥 치머만"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"2026 필즈 메달은 누가 획득하나요?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.