Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 97% implied probability to no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement following the AI developer's massive $30 billion Series G funding round in February, which valued Claude's creator at $380 billion post-money and extended its capital runway significantly. Recent reports highlight banker pitches for a potential Q4 listing at $60 billion raise and $600 billion-plus valuations, but investor offers topping $800 billion for private rounds—some rejected—underscore a preference for staying private amid souring public sentiment on AI and data centers. Realistic shifts could stem from surprise SEC filings, OpenAI competitive moves, or revenue surges beyond $30 billion run-rate, though H1 timelines remain improbable.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2026년 6월 30일까지 상장 없음 97.0%
6,000억+ 1.5%
4,000억~6,000억 <1%
2,000–3,000억 달러 <1%
$987,897 거래량
$987,897 거래량
2026.06.30
<1,000억
<1%
1,000억~2,000억 달러
<1%
2,000–3,000억 달러
<1%
3,000–4,000억 달러
<1%
4,000억~6,000억
1%
6,000억+
1%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장 없음
97%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장 없음 97.0%
6,000억+ 1.5%
4,000억~6,000억 <1%
2,000–3,000억 달러 <1%
$987,897 거래량
$987,897 거래량
2026.06.30
<1,000억
$208,484 거래량
<1%
1,000억~2,000억 달러
$69,307 거래량
<1%
2,000–3,000억 달러
$124,849 거래량
<1%
3,000–4,000억 달러
$73,181 거래량
<1%
4,000억~6,000억
$98,988 거래량
1%
6,000억+
$238,896 거래량
1%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장 없음
$174,191 거래량
97%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 97% implied probability to no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement following the AI developer's massive $30 billion Series G funding round in February, which valued Claude's creator at $380 billion post-money and extended its capital runway significantly. Recent reports highlight banker pitches for a potential Q4 listing at $60 billion raise and $600 billion-plus valuations, but investor offers topping $800 billion for private rounds—some rejected—underscore a preference for staying private amid souring public sentiment on AI and data centers. Realistic shifts could stem from surprise SEC filings, OpenAI competitive moves, or revenue surges beyond $30 billion run-rate, though H1 timelines remain improbable.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
마켓 개설일: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
거래량
$987,897종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 97% implied probability to no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement following the AI developer's massive $30 billion Series G funding round in February, which valued Claude's creator at $380 billion post-money and extended its capital runway significantly. Recent reports highlight banker pitches for a potential Q4 listing at $60 billion raise and $600 billion-plus valuations, but investor offers topping $800 billion for private rounds—some rejected—underscore a preference for staying private amid souring public sentiment on AI and data centers. Realistic shifts could stem from surprise SEC filings, OpenAI competitive moves, or revenue surges beyond $30 billion run-rate, though H1 timelines remain improbable.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
거래량
$987,897종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 97% implied probability to no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement following the AI developer's massive $30 billion Series G funding round in February, which valued Claude's creator at $380 billion post-money and extended its capital runway significantly. Recent reports highlight banker pitches for a potential Q4 listing at $60 billion raise and $600 billion-plus valuations, but investor offers topping $800 billion for private rounds—some rejected—underscore a preference for staying private amid souring public sentiment on AI and data centers. Realistic shifts could stem from surprise SEC filings, OpenAI competitive moves, or revenue surges beyond $30 billion run-rate, though H1 timelines remain improbable.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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