Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs lead the implied probabilities for Anthropic’s IPO lead underwriter at 42.5% and 26.0%, respectively, after the AI firm confidentially filed its draft registration statement with the SEC on June 1, 2026, and selected the pair as top bookrunners. The still-undecided “lead left” designation on the prospectus drives the split, with traders viewing Morgan Stanley’s edge in recent technology mandates and Goldman’s established AI-sector relationships as key swing factors. Comparable precedent from SpaceX’s May 2026 IPO, where Goldman secured the top slot ahead of Morgan Stanley, underscores how allocation power and institutional relationships influence final positioning ahead of an expected late-2026 offering.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Morgan Stanley 43%
Goldman Sachs 26%
Wells Fargo 4.2%
JPMorgan 3.2%
$35,376 거래량
$35,376 거래량
Morgan Stanley
43%
Goldman Sachs
26%
JPMorgan
3%
Bank of America
1%
Citigroup
1%
Barclays
1%
UBS
2%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Wells Fargo
4%
Morgan Stanley 43%
Goldman Sachs 26%
Wells Fargo 4.2%
JPMorgan 3.2%
$35,376 거래량
$35,376 거래량
Morgan Stanley
43%
Goldman Sachs
26%
JPMorgan
3%
Bank of America
1%
Citigroup
1%
Barclays
1%
UBS
2%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Wells Fargo
4%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs lead the implied probabilities for Anthropic’s IPO lead underwriter at 42.5% and 26.0%, respectively, after the AI firm confidentially filed its draft registration statement with the SEC on June 1, 2026, and selected the pair as top bookrunners. The still-undecided “lead left” designation on the prospectus drives the split, with traders viewing Morgan Stanley’s edge in recent technology mandates and Goldman’s established AI-sector relationships as key swing factors. Comparable precedent from SpaceX’s May 2026 IPO, where Goldman secured the top slot ahead of Morgan Stanley, underscores how allocation power and institutional relationships influence final positioning ahead of an expected late-2026 offering.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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