Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an overwhelming 89.5% implied probability against a Freddie Mac IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by stalled recapitalization efforts and regulatory hurdles under ongoing conservatorship. Late 2025 Trump administration signals for GSE privatization sparked initial optimism, with banks preparing for a potential $300 billion-plus valuation, but January's directive mandating $200 billion in mortgage-backed securities purchases depleted capital reserves, dimming prospects and triggering a 12% share plunge. FHFA Director Pulte's February comments signaling no urgency, alongside March analyst projections for a 2027 timeline at earliest, solidify the low odds on specific market cap bins amid uncertain deal terms and political risks. Near-term catalysts remain absent.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트No IPO by June 30, 2026 89.5%
150–200B 4.5%
<150B 2.6%
200–250B 2.1%
$193,334 거래량
$193,334 거래량
2026.06.30
<150B
3%
150–200B
4%
200–250B
2%
250–300B
1%
300B+
2%
No IPO by June 30, 2026
90%
No IPO by June 30, 2026 89.5%
150–200B 4.5%
<150B 2.6%
200–250B 2.1%
$193,334 거래량
$193,334 거래량
2026.06.30
<150B
$80,809 거래량
3%
150–200B
$30,835 거래량
4%
200–250B
$19,322 거래량
2%
250–300B
$5,829 거래량
1%
300B+
$10,816 거래량
2%
No IPO by June 30, 2026
$45,723 거래량
90%
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an overwhelming 89.5% implied probability against a Freddie Mac IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by stalled recapitalization efforts and regulatory hurdles under ongoing conservatorship. Late 2025 Trump administration signals for GSE privatization sparked initial optimism, with banks preparing for a potential $300 billion-plus valuation, but January's directive mandating $200 billion in mortgage-backed securities purchases depleted capital reserves, dimming prospects and triggering a 12% share plunge. FHFA Director Pulte's February comments signaling no urgency, alongside March analyst projections for a 2027 timeline at earliest, solidify the low odds on specific market cap bins amid uncertain deal terms and political risks. Near-term catalysts remain absent.
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
마켓 개설일: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
거래량
$193,334종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an overwhelming 89.5% implied probability against a Freddie Mac IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by stalled recapitalization efforts and regulatory hurdles under ongoing conservatorship. Late 2025 Trump administration signals for GSE privatization sparked initial optimism, with banks preparing for a potential $300 billion-plus valuation, but January's directive mandating $200 billion in mortgage-backed securities purchases depleted capital reserves, dimming prospects and triggering a 12% share plunge. FHFA Director Pulte's February comments signaling no urgency, alongside March analyst projections for a 2027 timeline at earliest, solidify the low odds on specific market cap bins amid uncertain deal terms and political risks. Near-term catalysts remain absent.
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
거래량
$193,334종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an overwhelming 89.5% implied probability against a Freddie Mac IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by stalled recapitalization efforts and regulatory hurdles under ongoing conservatorship. Late 2025 Trump administration signals for GSE privatization sparked initial optimism, with banks preparing for a potential $300 billion-plus valuation, but January's directive mandating $200 billion in mortgage-backed securities purchases depleted capital reserves, dimming prospects and triggering a 12% share plunge. FHFA Director Pulte's February comments signaling no urgency, alongside March analyst projections for a 2027 timeline at earliest, solidify the low odds on specific market cap bins amid uncertain deal terms and political risks. Near-term catalysts remain absent.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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