Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 83% implied probability to no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by the absence of a public S-1 filing since the company's confidential SEC submission in early January amid initial hopes for a March debut. Prolonged silence over the past three months points to regulatory hurdles, compliance overhauls, and profitability challenges decoupling Discord's 200 million+ monthly active users from investor confidence, with secondary market valuations hovering near $10-15 billion—well below prior $15 billion peaks. The 8.1% odds on a sub-$15 billion cap reflect this down-round risk if listed, while negligible probabilities for higher bins underscore financial opacity. Traders await S-1 disclosure as the pivotal catalyst amid tepid tech IPO momentum.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2026년 6월 30일까지 상장하지 않음 83%
150억 미만 8.1%
300억+ 1.8%
150억~200억 달러 1.5%
$848,225 거래량
$848,225 거래량
2026.06.30
150억 미만
8%
150억~200억 달러
1%
200–250억 달러
1%
250–300억
1%
300억+
2%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장하지 않음
83%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장하지 않음 83%
150억 미만 8.1%
300억+ 1.8%
150억~200억 달러 1.5%
$848,225 거래량
$848,225 거래량
2026.06.30
150억 미만
$294,998 거래량
8%
150억~200억 달러
$105,941 거래량
1%
200–250억 달러
$72,054 거래량
1%
250–300억
$98,040 거래량
1%
300억+
$90,529 거래량
2%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장하지 않음
$186,663 거래량
83%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 83% implied probability to no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by the absence of a public S-1 filing since the company's confidential SEC submission in early January amid initial hopes for a March debut. Prolonged silence over the past three months points to regulatory hurdles, compliance overhauls, and profitability challenges decoupling Discord's 200 million+ monthly active users from investor confidence, with secondary market valuations hovering near $10-15 billion—well below prior $15 billion peaks. The 8.1% odds on a sub-$15 billion cap reflect this down-round risk if listed, while negligible probabilities for higher bins underscore financial opacity. Traders await S-1 disclosure as the pivotal catalyst amid tepid tech IPO momentum.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
마켓 개설일: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
거래량
$848,225종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 83% implied probability to no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by the absence of a public S-1 filing since the company's confidential SEC submission in early January amid initial hopes for a March debut. Prolonged silence over the past three months points to regulatory hurdles, compliance overhauls, and profitability challenges decoupling Discord's 200 million+ monthly active users from investor confidence, with secondary market valuations hovering near $10-15 billion—well below prior $15 billion peaks. The 8.1% odds on a sub-$15 billion cap reflect this down-round risk if listed, while negligible probabilities for higher bins underscore financial opacity. Traders await S-1 disclosure as the pivotal catalyst amid tepid tech IPO momentum.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
거래량
$848,225종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 83% implied probability to no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by the absence of a public S-1 filing since the company's confidential SEC submission in early January amid initial hopes for a March debut. Prolonged silence over the past three months points to regulatory hurdles, compliance overhauls, and profitability challenges decoupling Discord's 200 million+ monthly active users from investor confidence, with secondary market valuations hovering near $10-15 billion—well below prior $15 billion peaks. The 8.1% odds on a sub-$15 billion cap reflect this down-round risk if listed, while negligible probabilities for higher bins underscore financial opacity. Traders await S-1 disclosure as the pivotal catalyst amid tepid tech IPO momentum.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문