**OpenAI's confidential IPO filing in early June 2026, following its $852 billion March private round, anchors current trader sentiment around a $1 trillion-plus debut, yet the broad Polymarket distribution reflects uncertainty over public-market multiples for a high-burn AI leader.** Strong generative AI demand, ChatGPT's scale, and SpaceX's recent $1.75 trillion listing have fueled optimism for a valuation uplift to the $2 trillion range, while ongoing losses, heavy infrastructure spending, and competition from Anthropic temper expectations. Key swing factors include final filing details, revenue trajectory toward profitability later this decade, and broader tech IPO conditions through late 2026.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$2.0T–$2.25T 31%
$1.75T–$2.0T 21%
<$1T 15%
$1.0T–$1.25T 13%
<$1T
15%
$1.0T–$1.25T
13%
$1.25T–$1.5T
14%
$1.5T–$1.75T
16%
$1.75T–$2.0T
21%
$2.0T–$2.25T
31%
$2.25T–$2.5T
11%
$2.5T+
6%
$2.0T–$2.25T 31%
$1.75T–$2.0T 21%
<$1T 15%
$1.0T–$1.25T 13%
<$1T
15%
$1.0T–$1.25T
13%
$1.25T–$1.5T
14%
$1.5T–$1.75T
16%
$1.75T–$2.0T
21%
$2.0T–$2.25T
31%
$2.25T–$2.5T
11%
$2.5T+
6%
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**OpenAI's confidential IPO filing in early June 2026, following its $852 billion March private round, anchors current trader sentiment around a $1 trillion-plus debut, yet the broad Polymarket distribution reflects uncertainty over public-market multiples for a high-burn AI leader.** Strong generative AI demand, ChatGPT's scale, and SpaceX's recent $1.75 trillion listing have fueled optimism for a valuation uplift to the $2 trillion range, while ongoing losses, heavy infrastructure spending, and competition from Anthropic temper expectations. Key swing factors include final filing details, revenue trajectory toward profitability later this decade, and broader tech IPO conditions through late 2026.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문