SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1, 2026, and the April 16 acceleration of employee share vesting to as early as next week have propelled the market-implied probability of a June IPO to 67%, reflecting trader consensus on a standard 8-12 week timeline from filing through roadshow to listing at a targeted $1.75 trillion valuation and $50-75 billion raise. July's 18% odds account for potential minor SEC review extensions, while "No IPO before 2027" at 6% underscores minimal delays amid robust Starlink revenue growth and merger synergies with xAI. Upcoming catalysts include roadshow details and final pricing, with historical mega-IPO precedents like Saudi Aramco informing the compressed timeline expectations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 59%
7월 25.2%
2027년 이전 IPO 없음 5.5%
8월 4.5%
$240,414 거래량
$240,414 거래량
2026.12.31
4월
1%
5월
2%
6월
59%
7월
25%
8월
5%
9월
2%
10월
<1%
11월
<1%
12월
<1%
2027년 이전 IPO 없음
6%
6월 59%
7월 25.2%
2027년 이전 IPO 없음 5.5%
8월 4.5%
$240,414 거래량
$240,414 거래량
2026.12.31
4월
$26,966 거래량
1%
5월
$21,671 거래량
2%
6월
$98,972 거래량
59%
7월
$9,578 거래량
25%
8월
$3,686 거래량
5%
9월
$5,428 거래량
2%
10월
$5,897 거래량
<1%
11월
$4,134 거래량
<1%
12월
$3,553 거래량
<1%
2027년 이전 IPO 없음
$7,448 거래량
6%
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1, 2026, and the April 16 acceleration of employee share vesting to as early as next week have propelled the market-implied probability of a June IPO to 67%, reflecting trader consensus on a standard 8-12 week timeline from filing through roadshow to listing at a targeted $1.75 trillion valuation and $50-75 billion raise. July's 18% odds account for potential minor SEC review extensions, while "No IPO before 2027" at 6% underscores minimal delays amid robust Starlink revenue growth and merger synergies with xAI. Upcoming catalysts include roadshow details and final pricing, with historical mega-IPO precedents like Saudi Aramco informing the compressed timeline expectations.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
마켓 개설일: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
거래량
$240,414종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1, 2026, and the April 16 acceleration of employee share vesting to as early as next week have propelled the market-implied probability of a June IPO to 67%, reflecting trader consensus on a standard 8-12 week timeline from filing through roadshow to listing at a targeted $1.75 trillion valuation and $50-75 billion raise. July's 18% odds account for potential minor SEC review extensions, while "No IPO before 2027" at 6% underscores minimal delays amid robust Starlink revenue growth and merger synergies with xAI. Upcoming catalysts include roadshow details and final pricing, with historical mega-IPO precedents like Saudi Aramco informing the compressed timeline expectations.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
거래량
$240,414종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1, 2026, and the April 16 acceleration of employee share vesting to as early as next week have propelled the market-implied probability of a June IPO to 67%, reflecting trader consensus on a standard 8-12 week timeline from filing through roadshow to listing at a targeted $1.75 trillion valuation and $50-75 billion raise. July's 18% odds account for potential minor SEC review extensions, while "No IPO before 2027" at 6% underscores minimal delays amid robust Starlink revenue growth and merger synergies with xAI. Upcoming catalysts include roadshow details and final pricing, with historical mega-IPO precedents like Saudi Aramco informing the compressed timeline expectations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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