Trader consensus in the SpaceX IPO valuation market centers on the 1.75-2.00T range at a 91% implied probability, driven by the company's May 20, 2026 SEC filing and reported pricing guidance targeting approximately $1.75 trillion to $2 trillion. This positioning reflects recent developments including the planned Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX around June 12 at $135 per share, which would imply a market capitalization near $1.77 trillion and position the offering as the largest in U.S. history. The narrow timeline to resolution and strong institutional demand for the deal underpin the elevated market-implied odds. Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include last-minute adjustments to share allocation or broader equity market volatility affecting final pricing.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트1.75-2.00조 91%
1.50-1.75조 5.1%
2.00-2.25조 2.6%
2.25~2.50조 1.6%
$197,230 거래량
$197,230 거래량
1.25조 미만
1%
1.25-1.50조
<1%
1.50-1.75조
5%
1.75-2.00조
91%
2.00-2.25조
3%
2.25~2.50조
2%
2.50조 달러 이상
<1%
1.75-2.00조 91%
1.50-1.75조 5.1%
2.00-2.25조 2.6%
2.25~2.50조 1.6%
$197,230 거래량
$197,230 거래량
1.25조 미만
$66,634 거래량
1%
1.25-1.50조
$20,275 거래량
<1%
1.50-1.75조
$15,857 거래량
5%
1.75-2.00조
$36,257 거래량
91%
2.00-2.25조
$21,555 거래량
3%
2.25~2.50조
$16,418 거래량
2%
2.50조 달러 이상
$20,234 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus in the SpaceX IPO valuation market centers on the 1.75-2.00T range at a 91% implied probability, driven by the company's May 20, 2026 SEC filing and reported pricing guidance targeting approximately $1.75 trillion to $2 trillion. This positioning reflects recent developments including the planned Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX around June 12 at $135 per share, which would imply a market capitalization near $1.77 trillion and position the offering as the largest in U.S. history. The narrow timeline to resolution and strong institutional demand for the deal underpin the elevated market-implied odds. Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include last-minute adjustments to share allocation or broader equity market volatility affecting final pricing.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
거래량
$197,230마켓 개설일
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus in the SpaceX IPO valuation market centers on the 1.75-2.00T range at a 91% implied probability, driven by the company's May 20, 2026 SEC filing and reported pricing guidance targeting approximately $1.75 trillion to $2 trillion. This positioning reflects recent developments including the planned Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX around June 12 at $135 per share, which would imply a market capitalization near $1.77 trillion and position the offering as the largest in U.S. history. The narrow timeline to resolution and strong institutional demand for the deal underpin the elevated market-implied odds. Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include last-minute adjustments to share allocation or broader equity market volatility affecting final pricing.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$197,230마켓 개설일
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the SpaceX IPO valuation market centers on the 1.75-2.00T range at a 91% implied probability, driven by the company's May 20, 2026 SEC filing and reported pricing guidance targeting approximately $1.75 trillion to $2 trillion. This positioning reflects recent developments including the planned Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX around June 12 at $135 per share, which would imply a market capitalization near $1.77 trillion and position the offering as the largest in U.S. history. The narrow timeline to resolution and strong institutional demand for the deal underpin the elevated market-implied odds. Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include last-minute adjustments to share allocation or broader equity market volatility affecting final pricing.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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