SpaceX’s IPO pricing at $135 per share, set to raise roughly $75 billion and implying a $1.77 trillion valuation, anchors the 91% market-implied odds for the 1.75-2.00T range. This consensus reflects the company’s recent SEC filing, prior private-market rounds at $1.5 trillion, and strong Starlink revenue momentum alongside ambitious AI and space infrastructure plans that support elevated multiples near 90 times trailing revenue. Traders appear to price in successful execution of the June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, with limited room for downside revisions given current market sentiment. Scenarios that could shift probabilities include weaker-than-expected demand during the roadshow, analyst DCF estimates materially below target, or broader equity volatility pressuring high-growth multiples.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트1.75-2.00조 91%
1.50-1.75조 5.1%
2.00-2.25조 2.6%
2.25~2.50조 1.6%
$197,215 거래량
$197,215 거래량
1.25조 미만
1%
1.25-1.50조
1%
1.50-1.75조
5%
1.75-2.00조
91%
2.00-2.25조
3%
2.25~2.50조
2%
2.50조 달러 이상
<1%
1.75-2.00조 91%
1.50-1.75조 5.1%
2.00-2.25조 2.6%
2.25~2.50조 1.6%
$197,215 거래량
$197,215 거래량
1.25조 미만
$66,634 거래량
1%
1.25-1.50조
$20,275 거래량
1%
1.50-1.75조
$15,857 거래량
5%
1.75-2.00조
$36,242 거래량
91%
2.00-2.25조
$21,555 거래량
3%
2.25~2.50조
$16,418 거래량
2%
2.50조 달러 이상
$20,234 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s IPO pricing at $135 per share, set to raise roughly $75 billion and implying a $1.77 trillion valuation, anchors the 91% market-implied odds for the 1.75-2.00T range. This consensus reflects the company’s recent SEC filing, prior private-market rounds at $1.5 trillion, and strong Starlink revenue momentum alongside ambitious AI and space infrastructure plans that support elevated multiples near 90 times trailing revenue. Traders appear to price in successful execution of the June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, with limited room for downside revisions given current market sentiment. Scenarios that could shift probabilities include weaker-than-expected demand during the roadshow, analyst DCF estimates materially below target, or broader equity volatility pressuring high-growth multiples.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
거래량
$197,215마켓 개설일
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s IPO pricing at $135 per share, set to raise roughly $75 billion and implying a $1.77 trillion valuation, anchors the 91% market-implied odds for the 1.75-2.00T range. This consensus reflects the company’s recent SEC filing, prior private-market rounds at $1.5 trillion, and strong Starlink revenue momentum alongside ambitious AI and space infrastructure plans that support elevated multiples near 90 times trailing revenue. Traders appear to price in successful execution of the June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, with limited room for downside revisions given current market sentiment. Scenarios that could shift probabilities include weaker-than-expected demand during the roadshow, analyst DCF estimates materially below target, or broader equity volatility pressuring high-growth multiples.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$197,215마켓 개설일
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s IPO pricing at $135 per share, set to raise roughly $75 billion and implying a $1.77 trillion valuation, anchors the 91% market-implied odds for the 1.75-2.00T range. This consensus reflects the company’s recent SEC filing, prior private-market rounds at $1.5 trillion, and strong Starlink revenue momentum alongside ambitious AI and space infrastructure plans that support elevated multiples near 90 times trailing revenue. Traders appear to price in successful execution of the June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, with limited room for downside revisions given current market sentiment. Scenarios that could shift probabilities include weaker-than-expected demand during the roadshow, analyst DCF estimates materially below target, or broader equity volatility pressuring high-growth multiples.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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