SpaceX’s announced IPO pricing of $135 per share, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation with a planned $75 billion raise, anchors the 94% market-implied probability on the 1.75-2.00T band. The S-1 filing and upcoming roadshow have aligned trader consensus around these disclosed terms, reflecting the company’s Starlink revenue trajectory and launch dominance amid elevated multiples comparable to sector peers. While some analyst models project substantially lower enterprise values based on discounted cash flow assumptions, the skin-in-the-game pricing reflects strong institutional demand signals. Resolution could shift if final pricing deviates materially from guidance or if macroeconomic conditions alter investor appetite before the mid-June Nasdaq debut.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트1.75-2.00조 94%
1.50-1.75조 2.7%
1.25-1.50조 1.8%
2.00-2.25조 1.7%
$208,805 거래량
$208,805 거래량
1.25조 미만
<1%
1.25-1.50조
2%
1.50-1.75조
3%
1.75-2.00조
94%
2.00-2.25조
2%
2.25~2.50조
1%
2.50조 달러 이상
<1%
1.75-2.00조 94%
1.50-1.75조 2.7%
1.25-1.50조 1.8%
2.00-2.25조 1.7%
$208,805 거래량
$208,805 거래량
1.25조 미만
<1%
1.25-1.50조
2%
1.50-1.75조
3%
1.75-2.00조
94%
2.00-2.25조
2%
2.25~2.50조
1%
2.50조 달러 이상
<1%
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s announced IPO pricing of $135 per share, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation with a planned $75 billion raise, anchors the 94% market-implied probability on the 1.75-2.00T band. The S-1 filing and upcoming roadshow have aligned trader consensus around these disclosed terms, reflecting the company’s Starlink revenue trajectory and launch dominance amid elevated multiples comparable to sector peers. While some analyst models project substantially lower enterprise values based on discounted cash flow assumptions, the skin-in-the-game pricing reflects strong institutional demand signals. Resolution could shift if final pricing deviates materially from guidance or if macroeconomic conditions alter investor appetite before the mid-June Nasdaq debut.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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