SpaceX’s reported decision to price its June 2026 IPO at $135 per share—raising a record $75 billion and implying a $1.75 trillion post-money valuation—anchors the 91% market-implied odds for the 1.75-2.00T range. Recent private-market tenders had already lifted the company from roughly $800 billion in late 2025 to $1.25 trillion after its xAI merger, with the S-1 filing and roadshow now formalizing that level amid robust institutional demand and AI-driven narrative pricing. Traders assign minimal weight to higher or lower brackets because the company’s own terms and pre-IPO share activity have effectively pre-cleared the outcome, though final pricing could still shift modestly if roadshow feedback or broader equity-market volatility alters allocation demand.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트1.75-2.00조 91%
1.50-1.75조 5.8%
2.00-2.25조 2.7%
2.25~2.50조 1.6%
$197,215 거래량
$197,215 거래량
1.25조 미만
1%
1.25-1.50조
1%
1.50-1.75조
6%
1.75-2.00조
91%
2.00-2.25조
3%
2.25~2.50조
2%
2.50조 달러 이상
<1%
1.75-2.00조 91%
1.50-1.75조 5.8%
2.00-2.25조 2.7%
2.25~2.50조 1.6%
$197,215 거래량
$197,215 거래량
1.25조 미만
$66,634 거래량
1%
1.25-1.50조
$20,275 거래량
1%
1.50-1.75조
$15,857 거래량
6%
1.75-2.00조
$36,242 거래량
91%
2.00-2.25조
$21,555 거래량
3%
2.25~2.50조
$16,418 거래량
2%
2.50조 달러 이상
$20,234 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s reported decision to price its June 2026 IPO at $135 per share—raising a record $75 billion and implying a $1.75 trillion post-money valuation—anchors the 91% market-implied odds for the 1.75-2.00T range. Recent private-market tenders had already lifted the company from roughly $800 billion in late 2025 to $1.25 trillion after its xAI merger, with the S-1 filing and roadshow now formalizing that level amid robust institutional demand and AI-driven narrative pricing. Traders assign minimal weight to higher or lower brackets because the company’s own terms and pre-IPO share activity have effectively pre-cleared the outcome, though final pricing could still shift modestly if roadshow feedback or broader equity-market volatility alters allocation demand.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
거래량
$197,215마켓 개설일
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s reported decision to price its June 2026 IPO at $135 per share—raising a record $75 billion and implying a $1.75 trillion post-money valuation—anchors the 91% market-implied odds for the 1.75-2.00T range. Recent private-market tenders had already lifted the company from roughly $800 billion in late 2025 to $1.25 trillion after its xAI merger, with the S-1 filing and roadshow now formalizing that level amid robust institutional demand and AI-driven narrative pricing. Traders assign minimal weight to higher or lower brackets because the company’s own terms and pre-IPO share activity have effectively pre-cleared the outcome, though final pricing could still shift modestly if roadshow feedback or broader equity-market volatility alters allocation demand.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$197,215마켓 개설일
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s reported decision to price its June 2026 IPO at $135 per share—raising a record $75 billion and implying a $1.75 trillion post-money valuation—anchors the 91% market-implied odds for the 1.75-2.00T range. Recent private-market tenders had already lifted the company from roughly $800 billion in late 2025 to $1.25 trillion after its xAI merger, with the S-1 filing and roadshow now formalizing that level amid robust institutional demand and AI-driven narrative pricing. Traders assign minimal weight to higher or lower brackets because the company’s own terms and pre-IPO share activity have effectively pre-cleared the outcome, though final pricing could still shift modestly if roadshow feedback or broader equity-market volatility alters allocation demand.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문