Recent Middle East developments, including a US-Iran ceasefire agreement and prospects for reopening the Strait of Hormuz, have eased supply disruption risks and contributed to a sharp decline in crude prices to around $76 per barrel for WTI in mid-June 2026. Earlier volatility from production shut-ins exceeding 11 million barrels per day and inventory draws had pushed benchmarks above $100 earlier in the year. Traders are weighing persistent geopolitical uncertainty against forecasts of resumed flows, rising non-OPEC output from the US, Brazil, and Guyana, and softer global demand. Upcoming OPEC+ meetings and any shifts in diplomatic implementation could influence near-term price trajectories relative to the 2008 all-time high near $147.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$1,033,429 거래량
2026.06.30
June 30
1%
September 30
8%
December 31
15%
$1,033,429 거래량
June 30
$197,821 거래량
1%
September 30
$227,530 거래량
8%
December 31
$159,529 거래량
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Recent Middle East developments, including a US-Iran ceasefire agreement and prospects for reopening the Strait of Hormuz, have eased supply disruption risks and contributed to a sharp decline in crude prices to around $76 per barrel for WTI in mid-June 2026. Earlier volatility from production shut-ins exceeding 11 million barrels per day and inventory draws had pushed benchmarks above $100 earlier in the year. Traders are weighing persistent geopolitical uncertainty against forecasts of resumed flows, rising non-OPEC output from the US, Brazil, and Guyana, and softer global demand. Upcoming OPEC+ meetings and any shifts in diplomatic implementation could influence near-term price trajectories relative to the 2008 all-time high near $147.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
마켓 개설일: Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
거래량
$1,033,429종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Recent Middle East developments, including a US-Iran ceasefire agreement and prospects for reopening the Strait of Hormuz, have eased supply disruption risks and contributed to a sharp decline in crude prices to around $76 per barrel for WTI in mid-June 2026. Earlier volatility from production shut-ins exceeding 11 million barrels per day and inventory draws had pushed benchmarks above $100 earlier in the year. Traders are weighing persistent geopolitical uncertainty against forecasts of resumed flows, rising non-OPEC output from the US, Brazil, and Guyana, and softer global demand. Upcoming OPEC+ meetings and any shifts in diplomatic implementation could influence near-term price trajectories relative to the 2008 all-time high near $147.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
거래량
$1,033,429종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Middle East developments, including a US-Iran ceasefire agreement and prospects for reopening the Strait of Hormuz, have eased supply disruption risks and contributed to a sharp decline in crude prices to around $76 per barrel for WTI in mid-June 2026. Earlier volatility from production shut-ins exceeding 11 million barrels per day and inventory draws had pushed benchmarks above $100 earlier in the year. Traders are weighing persistent geopolitical uncertainty against forecasts of resumed flows, rising non-OPEC output from the US, Brazil, and Guyana, and softer global demand. Upcoming OPEC+ meetings and any shifts in diplomatic implementation could influence near-term price trajectories relative to the 2008 all-time high near $147.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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