Polymarket traders price a tight contest for June 2026 gold (GC) settlement, with 20.5% implied probability on $4,600-$5,000 edging 18.7% for $4,200-$4,600, reflecting spot stabilization near $4,830/oz and GCM26 futures at $4,846 amid balanced bullish and bearish forces. The primary catalyst is last week's US-Iran ceasefire easing oil-driven inflation fears, softening the dollar and trimming real yields to support recovery from March lows around $4,100, while persistent central bank net buying—27 tonnes in February led by Poland—provides a structural floor decoupled from pure geopolitical risk. Key differentiators include sticky US inflation data versus Fed easing signals; upcoming April CPI and FOMC minutes could tip sentiment, with lower prints favoring upside breakout above $5,000 or persistent pressures driving pullback toward $4,200.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$4,600~$5,000 21%
$4,200~$4,600 18.7%
$5,000~$5,400 16.8%
$3,800-$4,200 12.4%
$891,120 거래량
$891,120 거래량
2026.06.30
$3,800 미만
7%
$3,800-$4,200
12%
$4,200~$4,600
19%
$4,600~$5,000
21%
$5,000~$5,400
17%
$5,400~$5,800
12%
$5,800~$6,200
7%
6,200달러 초과
4%
$4,600~$5,000 21%
$4,200~$4,600 18.7%
$5,000~$5,400 16.8%
$3,800-$4,200 12.4%
$891,120 거래량
$891,120 거래량
2026.06.30
$3,800 미만
$219,178 거래량
7%
$3,800-$4,200
$46,851 거래량
12%
$4,200~$4,600
$45,749 거래량
19%
$4,600~$5,000
$42,995 거래량
21%
$5,000~$5,400
$52,851 거래량
17%
$5,400~$5,800
$50,330 거래량
12%
$5,800~$6,200
$242,842 거래량
7%
6,200달러 초과
$190,324 거래량
4%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Polymarket traders price a tight contest for June 2026 gold (GC) settlement, with 20.5% implied probability on $4,600-$5,000 edging 18.7% for $4,200-$4,600, reflecting spot stabilization near $4,830/oz and GCM26 futures at $4,846 amid balanced bullish and bearish forces. The primary catalyst is last week's US-Iran ceasefire easing oil-driven inflation fears, softening the dollar and trimming real yields to support recovery from March lows around $4,100, while persistent central bank net buying—27 tonnes in February led by Poland—provides a structural floor decoupled from pure geopolitical risk. Key differentiators include sticky US inflation data versus Fed easing signals; upcoming April CPI and FOMC minutes could tip sentiment, with lower prints favoring upside breakout above $5,000 or persistent pressures driving pullback toward $4,200.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
마켓 개설일: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
거래량
$891,120종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Polymarket traders price a tight contest for June 2026 gold (GC) settlement, with 20.5% implied probability on $4,600-$5,000 edging 18.7% for $4,200-$4,600, reflecting spot stabilization near $4,830/oz and GCM26 futures at $4,846 amid balanced bullish and bearish forces. The primary catalyst is last week's US-Iran ceasefire easing oil-driven inflation fears, softening the dollar and trimming real yields to support recovery from March lows around $4,100, while persistent central bank net buying—27 tonnes in February led by Poland—provides a structural floor decoupled from pure geopolitical risk. Key differentiators include sticky US inflation data versus Fed easing signals; upcoming April CPI and FOMC minutes could tip sentiment, with lower prints favoring upside breakout above $5,000 or persistent pressures driving pullback toward $4,200.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
거래량
$891,120종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETPolymarket traders price a tight contest for June 2026 gold (GC) settlement, with 20.5% implied probability on $4,600-$5,000 edging 18.7% for $4,200-$4,600, reflecting spot stabilization near $4,830/oz and GCM26 futures at $4,846 amid balanced bullish and bearish forces. The primary catalyst is last week's US-Iran ceasefire easing oil-driven inflation fears, softening the dollar and trimming real yields to support recovery from March lows around $4,100, while persistent central bank net buying—27 tonnes in February led by Poland—provides a structural floor decoupled from pure geopolitical risk. Key differentiators include sticky US inflation data versus Fed easing signals; upcoming April CPI and FOMC minutes could tip sentiment, with lower prints favoring upside breakout above $5,000 or persistent pressures driving pullback toward $4,200.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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