The Federal Reserve held the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% after its March 17-18, 2026 FOMC meeting, as March CPI surged 3.3% year-over-year—up sharply from 2.4%—fueled by a 10.9% energy price spike amid geopolitical tensions. Unemployment edged to 4.3% with 178,000 nonfarm payroll gains, signaling a resilient yet softening labor market. Minutes released April 8 reveal officials' baseline for one 2026 rate cut but growing openness to hikes if inflation persists, contrasting the dot plot's median projection of 3.4% by year-end 2026 and low-3% by 2027. Traders monitor the April 28-29 FOMC, April CPI release, and Treasury yield trends for shifts in monetary policy expectations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$1,328,134 거래량
↑ 5.5%
6%
↑ 5.25%
5%
↑ 5.0%
4%
↑ 4.75%
6%
↑ 4.5%
6%
↑ 4.25%
9%
↓ 3.25%
66%
↓ 3.0%
25%
↓ 2.75%
17%
↓ 2.5%
13%
↓ 2.25%
8%
↓ 2.0%
9%
↓ 1.75%
7%
↓ 1.5%
7%
↓ 1.25%
13%
↓ 1.0%
7%
↓ 0.75%
9%
↓ 0.5%
4%
↓ 0.25%
5%
↓ 0%
4%
$1,328,134 거래량
↑ 5.5%
6%
↑ 5.25%
5%
↑ 5.0%
4%
↑ 4.75%
6%
↑ 4.5%
6%
↑ 4.25%
9%
↓ 3.25%
66%
↓ 3.0%
25%
↓ 2.75%
17%
↓ 2.5%
13%
↓ 2.25%
8%
↓ 2.0%
9%
↓ 1.75%
7%
↓ 1.5%
7%
↓ 1.25%
13%
↓ 1.0%
7%
↓ 0.75%
9%
↓ 0.5%
4%
↓ 0.25%
5%
↓ 0%
4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
마켓 개설일: Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve held the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% after its March 17-18, 2026 FOMC meeting, as March CPI surged 3.3% year-over-year—up sharply from 2.4%—fueled by a 10.9% energy price spike amid geopolitical tensions. Unemployment edged to 4.3% with 178,000 nonfarm payroll gains, signaling a resilient yet softening labor market. Minutes released April 8 reveal officials' baseline for one 2026 rate cut but growing openness to hikes if inflation persists, contrasting the dot plot's median projection of 3.4% by year-end 2026 and low-3% by 2027. Traders monitor the April 28-29 FOMC, April CPI release, and Treasury yield trends for shifts in monetary policy expectations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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