Persistent inflation pressures, with April 2026 CPI rising to 3.8% year-over-year amid energy price spikes, combined with a resilient labor market showing 4.3% unemployment and solid May payroll gains, have reinforced the Federal Reserve's data-dependent hold at the 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range. Futures markets now price minimal easing through year-end 2026, aligning with the March dot plot's median projections near 3.4% by end-2026 and 3.1% by 2027-2028. The May CPI release on June 10 and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting with updated projections represent key near-term catalysts that could shift the market-implied rate path before 2027.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$1,530,799 거래량
2026.12.31
↑ 5.5%
4%
↑ 5.25%
3%
↑ 5.0%
4%
↑ 4.75%
6%
↑ 4.5%
6%
↑ 4.25%
11%
↓ 3.25%
31%
↓ 3.0%
12%
↓ 2.75%
6%
↓ 2.5%
5%
↓ 2.25%
5%
↓ 2.0%
5%
↓ 1.75%
6%
↓ 1.5%
6%
↓ 1.25%
5%
↓ 1.0%
4%
↓ 0.75%
4%
↓ 0.5%
5%
↓ 0.25%
5%
↓ 0%
5%
$1,530,799 거래량
↑ 5.5%
$47,892 거래량
4%
↑ 5.25%
$141,524 거래량
3%
↑ 5.0%
$13,665 거래량
4%
↑ 4.75%
$77,504 거래량
6%
↑ 4.5%
$16,497 거래량
6%
↑ 4.25%
$30,653 거래량
11%
↓ 3.25%
$74,426 거래량
31%
↓ 3.0%
$267,414 거래량
12%
↓ 2.75%
$323,685 거래량
6%
↓ 2.5%
$196,920 거래량
5%
↓ 2.25%
$31,754 거래량
5%
↓ 2.0%
$18,223 거래량
5%
↓ 1.75%
$9,628 거래량
6%
↓ 1.5%
$27,139 거래량
6%
↓ 1.25%
$1,861 거래량
5%
↓ 1.0%
$1,924 거래량
4%
↓ 0.75%
$393 거래량
4%
↓ 0.5%
$100,711 거래량
5%
↓ 0.25%
$124,532 거래량
5%
↓ 0%
$15,453 거래량
5%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.Persistent inflation pressures, with April 2026 CPI rising to 3.8% year-over-year amid energy price spikes, combined with a resilient labor market showing 4.3% unemployment and solid May payroll gains, have reinforced the Federal Reserve's data-dependent hold at the 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range. Futures markets now price minimal easing through year-end 2026, aligning with the March dot plot's median projections near 3.4% by end-2026 and 3.1% by 2027-2028. The May CPI release on June 10 and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting with updated projections represent key near-term catalysts that could shift the market-implied rate path before 2027.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
마켓 개설일: Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET
거래량
$1,530,799종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.Persistent inflation pressures, with April 2026 CPI rising to 3.8% year-over-year amid energy price spikes, combined with a resilient labor market showing 4.3% unemployment and solid May payroll gains, have reinforced the Federal Reserve's data-dependent hold at the 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range. Futures markets now price minimal easing through year-end 2026, aligning with the March dot plot's median projections near 3.4% by end-2026 and 3.1% by 2027-2028. The May CPI release on June 10 and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting with updated projections represent key near-term catalysts that could shift the market-implied rate path before 2027.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
거래량
$1,530,799종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation pressures, with April 2026 CPI rising to 3.8% year-over-year amid energy price spikes, combined with a resilient labor market showing 4.3% unemployment and solid May payroll gains, have reinforced the Federal Reserve's data-dependent hold at the 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range. Futures markets now price minimal easing through year-end 2026, aligning with the March dot plot's median projections near 3.4% by end-2026 and 3.1% by 2027-2028. The May CPI release on June 10 and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting with updated projections represent key near-term catalysts that could shift the market-implied rate path before 2027.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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