Polymarket traders price 2026 Argentina annual inflation in a tight 25-35% range, with the 30.0-34.9% outcome leading at 22.1% implied probability amid closely contested sentiment reflecting recent disinflation fragility. March INDEC CPI showed a 3.4% monthly rise—the highest of 2026—lifting Q1 totals to 9.4% and tempering optimism despite year-over-year easing to 32.6% from 33.2%. Central bank REM forecasts jumped to 29.1%, aligning with IMF revisions to 30.4%, driven by regulated price pass-throughs and oil shocks offsetting President Milei's fiscal austerity. Key swing factors include April CPI data due mid-May and sustained monetary tightening; persistent monthly upticks could favor higher bins, while core disinflation supports sub-30% paths.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트30.0-34.9% 19.8%
25-29.9% 16%
35–39.9% 12.4%
40-44.9% 12.3%
신규
신규
2027.01.10
<20%
8%
20-24.9%
13%
25-29.9%
16%
30.0-34.9%
22%
35–39.9%
12%
40-44.9%
12%
45%+
6%
30.0-34.9% 19.8%
25-29.9% 16%
35–39.9% 12.4%
40-44.9% 12.3%
신규
신규
2027.01.10
<20%
$2,404 거래량
8%
20-24.9%
$1,331 거래량
13%
25-29.9%
$1,286 거래량
16%
30.0-34.9%
$809 거래량
22%
35–39.9%
$780 거래량
12%
40-44.9%
$884 거래량
12%
45%+
$985 거래량
6%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders price 2026 Argentina annual inflation in a tight 25-35% range, with the 30.0-34.9% outcome leading at 22.1% implied probability amid closely contested sentiment reflecting recent disinflation fragility. March INDEC CPI showed a 3.4% monthly rise—the highest of 2026—lifting Q1 totals to 9.4% and tempering optimism despite year-over-year easing to 32.6% from 33.2%. Central bank REM forecasts jumped to 29.1%, aligning with IMF revisions to 30.4%, driven by regulated price pass-throughs and oil shocks offsetting President Milei's fiscal austerity. Key swing factors include April CPI data due mid-May and sustained monetary tightening; persistent monthly upticks could favor higher bins, while core disinflation supports sub-30% paths.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
마켓 개설일: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
거래량
$8,479종료일
2027.01.10마켓 개설일
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders price 2026 Argentina annual inflation in a tight 25-35% range, with the 30.0-34.9% outcome leading at 22.1% implied probability amid closely contested sentiment reflecting recent disinflation fragility. March INDEC CPI showed a 3.4% monthly rise—the highest of 2026—lifting Q1 totals to 9.4% and tempering optimism despite year-over-year easing to 32.6% from 33.2%. Central bank REM forecasts jumped to 29.1%, aligning with IMF revisions to 30.4%, driven by regulated price pass-throughs and oil shocks offsetting President Milei's fiscal austerity. Key swing factors include April CPI data due mid-May and sustained monetary tightening; persistent monthly upticks could favor higher bins, while core disinflation supports sub-30% paths.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
거래량
$8,479종료일
2027.01.10마켓 개설일
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price 2026 Argentina annual inflation in a tight 25-35% range, with the 30.0-34.9% outcome leading at 22.1% implied probability amid closely contested sentiment reflecting recent disinflation fragility. March INDEC CPI showed a 3.4% monthly rise—the highest of 2026—lifting Q1 totals to 9.4% and tempering optimism despite year-over-year easing to 32.6% from 33.2%. Central bank REM forecasts jumped to 29.1%, aligning with IMF revisions to 30.4%, driven by regulated price pass-throughs and oil shocks offsetting President Milei's fiscal austerity. Key swing factors include April CPI data due mid-May and sustained monetary tightening; persistent monthly upticks could favor higher bins, while core disinflation supports sub-30% paths.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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