Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37% implied probability for U.K. annual CPI inflation exceeding 4.5% in 2026, narrowly ahead of 3.5–3.9% at 33%, reflecting sticky price pressures amid Middle East conflict risks. February 2026 CPI held at 3.0% year-over-year, with core inflation ticking up to 3.2% from 3.1%, driven by persistent services costs and elevated energy prices from the Iran war, prompting the Bank of England to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% in its March Monetary Policy Committee meeting and revise near-term inflation forecasts higher to around 3% in Q2. The closely contested leading bins highlight uncertainty over shock persistence versus base effects, with March CPI data due April 22 as a key swing factor ahead of year-end resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트4.5%+ 34%
3.5–3.9% 24%
2.5–2.9% 19%
4.0-4.4% 18%
신규
신규
2027.01.20
<1.0%
1%
1.0–1.4%
5%
1.5–1.9%
12%
2.0–2.4%
5%
2.5–2.9%
19%
3.5–3.9%
24%
4.0-4.4%
18%
4.5%+
46%
4.5%+ 34%
3.5–3.9% 24%
2.5–2.9% 19%
4.0-4.4% 18%
신규
신규
2027.01.20
<1.0%
$601 거래량
1%
1.0–1.4%
$325 거래량
5%
1.5–1.9%
$478 거래량
12%
2.0–2.4%
$305 거래량
5%
2.5–2.9%
$380 거래량
19%
3.5–3.9%
$252 거래량
24%
4.0-4.4%
$398 거래량
18%
4.5%+
$753 거래량
46%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37% implied probability for U.K. annual CPI inflation exceeding 4.5% in 2026, narrowly ahead of 3.5–3.9% at 33%, reflecting sticky price pressures amid Middle East conflict risks. February 2026 CPI held at 3.0% year-over-year, with core inflation ticking up to 3.2% from 3.1%, driven by persistent services costs and elevated energy prices from the Iran war, prompting the Bank of England to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% in its March Monetary Policy Committee meeting and revise near-term inflation forecasts higher to around 3% in Q2. The closely contested leading bins highlight uncertainty over shock persistence versus base effects, with March CPI data due April 22 as a key swing factor ahead of year-end resolution.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
마켓 개설일: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
거래량
$3,492종료일
2027.01.20마켓 개설일
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37% implied probability for U.K. annual CPI inflation exceeding 4.5% in 2026, narrowly ahead of 3.5–3.9% at 33%, reflecting sticky price pressures amid Middle East conflict risks. February 2026 CPI held at 3.0% year-over-year, with core inflation ticking up to 3.2% from 3.1%, driven by persistent services costs and elevated energy prices from the Iran war, prompting the Bank of England to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% in its March Monetary Policy Committee meeting and revise near-term inflation forecasts higher to around 3% in Q2. The closely contested leading bins highlight uncertainty over shock persistence versus base effects, with March CPI data due April 22 as a key swing factor ahead of year-end resolution.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
거래량
$3,492종료일
2027.01.20마켓 개설일
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37% implied probability for U.K. annual CPI inflation exceeding 4.5% in 2026, narrowly ahead of 3.5–3.9% at 33%, reflecting sticky price pressures amid Middle East conflict risks. February 2026 CPI held at 3.0% year-over-year, with core inflation ticking up to 3.2% from 3.1%, driven by persistent services costs and elevated energy prices from the Iran war, prompting the Bank of England to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% in its March Monetary Policy Committee meeting and revise near-term inflation forecasts higher to around 3% in Q2. The closely contested leading bins highlight uncertainty over shock persistence versus base effects, with March CPI data due April 22 as a key swing factor ahead of year-end resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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