Tight U.S. cattle inventories at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 2026 continue to constrain beef supply, fueling elevated ground beef prices averaging $6.70 per pound in March 2026 per BLS data via FRED. Multi-year herd contraction from high input costs and drought has reduced beef production forecasts, with USDA projecting a 10.1% rise in beef prices for 2026 (prediction interval: 2.8-18.3%). Live cattle futures hold near $2.52 per pound spot, with April 2026 contracts at $2.51, reflecting trader consensus on sustained wholesale strength amid robust demand. Key catalysts include the April 17 Cattle on Feed report detailing placements and marketings, plus monthly WASDE updates and CPI releases tracking retail trends through year-end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
2026.12.31
$7.000+
54%
$8.000+
59%
$9.000+
35%
$10.000+
41%
$1,441 거래량
$7.000+
$15 거래량
54%
$8.000+
$1,420 거래량
59%
$9.000+
$3 거래량
35%
$10.000+
$3 거래량
41%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight U.S. cattle inventories at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 2026 continue to constrain beef supply, fueling elevated ground beef prices averaging $6.70 per pound in March 2026 per BLS data via FRED. Multi-year herd contraction from high input costs and drought has reduced beef production forecasts, with USDA projecting a 10.1% rise in beef prices for 2026 (prediction interval: 2.8-18.3%). Live cattle futures hold near $2.52 per pound spot, with April 2026 contracts at $2.51, reflecting trader consensus on sustained wholesale strength amid robust demand. Key catalysts include the April 17 Cattle on Feed report detailing placements and marketings, plus monthly WASDE updates and CPI releases tracking retail trends through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
마켓 개설일: Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$1,441종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight U.S. cattle inventories at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 2026 continue to constrain beef supply, fueling elevated ground beef prices averaging $6.70 per pound in March 2026 per BLS data via FRED. Multi-year herd contraction from high input costs and drought has reduced beef production forecasts, with USDA projecting a 10.1% rise in beef prices for 2026 (prediction interval: 2.8-18.3%). Live cattle futures hold near $2.52 per pound spot, with April 2026 contracts at $2.51, reflecting trader consensus on sustained wholesale strength amid robust demand. Key catalysts include the April 17 Cattle on Feed report detailing placements and marketings, plus monthly WASDE updates and CPI releases tracking retail trends through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
거래량
$1,441종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tight U.S. cattle inventories at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 2026 continue to constrain beef supply, fueling elevated ground beef prices averaging $6.70 per pound in March 2026 per BLS data via FRED. Multi-year herd contraction from high input costs and drought has reduced beef production forecasts, with USDA projecting a 10.1% rise in beef prices for 2026 (prediction interval: 2.8-18.3%). Live cattle futures hold near $2.52 per pound spot, with April 2026 contracts at $2.51, reflecting trader consensus on sustained wholesale strength amid robust demand. Key catalysts include the April 17 Cattle on Feed report detailing placements and marketings, plus monthly WASDE updates and CPI releases tracking retail trends through year-end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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