Polymarket trader consensus, backed by real capital at stake, assigns a 67% implied probability to Eurozone 2026 annual HICP inflation exceeding 3.1%, with 36% on 2.8-3.0%, driven by March's headline rate surging to 2.5% year-over-year from February's 1.9% amid soaring energy costs tied to the Iran war's oil supply disruptions via the Strait of Hormuz. ECB staff March projections lifted the 2026 average forecast to 2.6%—with Q2 peaking at 3.1%—citing persistent pressures, while core HICP hovers near 2.5%. Sticky services inflation and wage dynamics amplify second-round effects, though final March data today and the April flash estimate will shape near-term revisions ahead of ECB meetings.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트3.1%+ 47.0%
1.0–1.2% 7.6%
2.8-3.0% 6.7%
1.3–1.5% 2.3%
신규
신규
2027.01.19
<1.0%
2%
1.0–1.2%
8%
1.3–1.5%
2%
1.6–1.8%
1%
1.9–2.1%
1%
2.2–2.4%
1%
2.5–2.7%
31%
2.8-3.0%
7%
3.1%+
53%
3.1%+ 47.0%
1.0–1.2% 7.6%
2.8-3.0% 6.7%
1.3–1.5% 2.3%
신규
신규
2027.01.19
<1.0%
$685 거래량
2%
1.0–1.2%
$714 거래량
8%
1.3–1.5%
$677 거래량
2%
1.6–1.8%
$652 거래량
1%
1.9–2.1%
$2,671 거래량
1%
2.2–2.4%
$750 거래량
1%
2.5–2.7%
$886 거래량
31%
2.8-3.0%
$630 거래량
7%
3.1%+
$1,842 거래량
53%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlPolymarket trader consensus, backed by real capital at stake, assigns a 67% implied probability to Eurozone 2026 annual HICP inflation exceeding 3.1%, with 36% on 2.8-3.0%, driven by March's headline rate surging to 2.5% year-over-year from February's 1.9% amid soaring energy costs tied to the Iran war's oil supply disruptions via the Strait of Hormuz. ECB staff March projections lifted the 2026 average forecast to 2.6%—with Q2 peaking at 3.1%—citing persistent pressures, while core HICP hovers near 2.5%. Sticky services inflation and wage dynamics amplify second-round effects, though final March data today and the April flash estimate will shape near-term revisions ahead of ECB meetings.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
마켓 개설일: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
거래량
$9,508종료일
2027.01.19마켓 개설일
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlPolymarket trader consensus, backed by real capital at stake, assigns a 67% implied probability to Eurozone 2026 annual HICP inflation exceeding 3.1%, with 36% on 2.8-3.0%, driven by March's headline rate surging to 2.5% year-over-year from February's 1.9% amid soaring energy costs tied to the Iran war's oil supply disruptions via the Strait of Hormuz. ECB staff March projections lifted the 2026 average forecast to 2.6%—with Q2 peaking at 3.1%—citing persistent pressures, while core HICP hovers near 2.5%. Sticky services inflation and wage dynamics amplify second-round effects, though final March data today and the April flash estimate will shape near-term revisions ahead of ECB meetings.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
거래량
$9,508종료일
2027.01.19마켓 개설일
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket trader consensus, backed by real capital at stake, assigns a 67% implied probability to Eurozone 2026 annual HICP inflation exceeding 3.1%, with 36% on 2.8-3.0%, driven by March's headline rate surging to 2.5% year-over-year from February's 1.9% amid soaring energy costs tied to the Iran war's oil supply disruptions via the Strait of Hormuz. ECB staff March projections lifted the 2026 average forecast to 2.6%—with Q2 peaking at 3.1%—citing persistent pressures, while core HICP hovers near 2.5%. Sticky services inflation and wage dynamics amplify second-round effects, though final March data today and the April flash estimate will shape near-term revisions ahead of ECB meetings.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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