Trader consensus prices "No" at 59.5% for Canada's 2026 population drop being the largest on record, driven by Statistics Canada's March 2026 confirmation of a historic 2025 annual decline of over 100,000 people—the first since modern records began amid sharp reductions in non-permanent residents like temporary workers and students. The federal 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan stabilizes permanent resident admissions at 380,000 annually while capping new temporary arrivals at 385,000, leading Parliamentary Budget Officer projections of flat population growth in 2026 as net outflows moderate. Upcoming Q1 2026 estimates in June could refine this outlook, but current evidence suggests stabilization rather than escalation beyond 2025's record.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2027.04.30
신규
신규
2027.04.30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus prices "No" at 59.5% for Canada's 2026 population drop being the largest on record, driven by Statistics Canada's March 2026 confirmation of a historic 2025 annual decline of over 100,000 people—the first since modern records began amid sharp reductions in non-permanent residents like temporary workers and students. The federal 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan stabilizes permanent resident admissions at 380,000 annually while capping new temporary arrivals at 385,000, leading Parliamentary Budget Officer projections of flat population growth in 2026 as net outflows moderate. Upcoming Q1 2026 estimates in June could refine this outlook, but current evidence suggests stabilization rather than escalation beyond 2025's record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Jan 29, 2026, 3:45 PM ET
거래량
$1,478종료일
2027.04.30마켓 개설일
Jan 29, 2026, 3:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus prices "No" at 59.5% for Canada's 2026 population drop being the largest on record, driven by Statistics Canada's March 2026 confirmation of a historic 2025 annual decline of over 100,000 people—the first since modern records began amid sharp reductions in non-permanent residents like temporary workers and students. The federal 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan stabilizes permanent resident admissions at 380,000 annually while capping new temporary arrivals at 385,000, leading Parliamentary Budget Officer projections of flat population growth in 2026 as net outflows moderate. Upcoming Q1 2026 estimates in June could refine this outlook, but current evidence suggests stabilization rather than escalation beyond 2025's record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$1,478종료일
2027.04.30마켓 개설일
Jan 29, 2026, 3:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 59.5% for Canada's 2026 population drop being the largest on record, driven by Statistics Canada's March 2026 confirmation of a historic 2025 annual decline of over 100,000 people—the first since modern records began amid sharp reductions in non-permanent residents like temporary workers and students. The federal 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan stabilizes permanent resident admissions at 380,000 annually while capping new temporary arrivals at 385,000, leading Parliamentary Budget Officer projections of flat population growth in 2026 as net outflows moderate. Upcoming Q1 2026 estimates in June could refine this outlook, but current evidence suggests stabilization rather than escalation beyond 2025's record.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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