Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 70% implied probability for no change in the Bank Rate at the June 2026 Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting, reflecting sticky UK CPI inflation at 3.0% in February—unchanged from January and above the 2% target—exacerbated by Middle East conflict-driven energy price surges. The BoE's March MPC unanimously held rates at 3.75%, signaling caution amid persistent core CPI at 3.2% and easing but resilient wage growth. A 17.5% chance of a 25 basis point hike captures upside inflation risks, while cuts remain marginal (<5%) bets. The April 30 MPC decision looms as a pivotal gauge ahead of June, with traders monitoring fresh CPI and labor data for policy shifts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트No change 62%
25 bps increase 18%
50+ bps decrease 3.3%
25 bps decrease 1.3%
$12,742 거래량
$12,742 거래량
50+ bps decrease
3%
25 bps decrease
1%
No change
70%
25 bps increase
18%
50+ bps increase
1%
No change 62%
25 bps increase 18%
50+ bps decrease 3.3%
25 bps decrease 1.3%
$12,742 거래량
$12,742 거래량
50+ bps decrease
3%
25 bps decrease
1%
No change
70%
25 bps increase
18%
50+ bps increase
1%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
마켓 개설일: Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 70% implied probability for no change in the Bank Rate at the June 2026 Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting, reflecting sticky UK CPI inflation at 3.0% in February—unchanged from January and above the 2% target—exacerbated by Middle East conflict-driven energy price surges. The BoE's March MPC unanimously held rates at 3.75%, signaling caution amid persistent core CPI at 3.2% and easing but resilient wage growth. A 17.5% chance of a 25 basis point hike captures upside inflation risks, while cuts remain marginal (<5%) bets. The April 30 MPC decision looms as a pivotal gauge ahead of June, with traders monitoring fresh CPI and labor data for policy shifts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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