Polymarket traders price an 86% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the June 19 meeting, reflecting the central bank's ongoing easing cycle with 50 basis point cuts to 15.00% in March 2026 and 15.50% in February amid a sustainable inflation slowdown to 5.9% year-on-year as of mid-March. Underlying price growth holds in the 4-5% annualized range, aligning with the Bank's 4.5-5.5% forecast for 2026 annual inflation, bolstering expectations for further monetary policy accommodation despite sticky household inflation expectations near 13%. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East elevate pro-inflation risks, supporting 10% no-change odds, with the April 24 decision and latest March CPI data as key near-term catalysts ahead of June.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Decrease 86%
No Change 9%
Increase 6.2%
신규
신규
2026.06.19
Decrease
86%
No Change
9%
Increase
6%
Decrease 86%
No Change 9%
Increase 6.2%
신규
신규
2026.06.19
Decrease
$1,236 거래량
86%
No Change
$346 거래량
9%
Increase
$7,804 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price an 86% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the June 19 meeting, reflecting the central bank's ongoing easing cycle with 50 basis point cuts to 15.00% in March 2026 and 15.50% in February amid a sustainable inflation slowdown to 5.9% year-on-year as of mid-March. Underlying price growth holds in the 4-5% annualized range, aligning with the Bank's 4.5-5.5% forecast for 2026 annual inflation, bolstering expectations for further monetary policy accommodation despite sticky household inflation expectations near 13%. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East elevate pro-inflation risks, supporting 10% no-change odds, with the April 24 decision and latest March CPI data as key near-term catalysts ahead of June.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
마켓 개설일: Mar 19, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
거래량
$9,386종료일
2026.06.19마켓 개설일
Mar 19, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price an 86% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the June 19 meeting, reflecting the central bank's ongoing easing cycle with 50 basis point cuts to 15.00% in March 2026 and 15.50% in February amid a sustainable inflation slowdown to 5.9% year-on-year as of mid-March. Underlying price growth holds in the 4-5% annualized range, aligning with the Bank's 4.5-5.5% forecast for 2026 annual inflation, bolstering expectations for further monetary policy accommodation despite sticky household inflation expectations near 13%. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East elevate pro-inflation risks, supporting 10% no-change odds, with the April 24 decision and latest March CPI data as key near-term catalysts ahead of June.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
거래량
$9,386종료일
2026.06.19마켓 개설일
Mar 19, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price an 86% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the June 19 meeting, reflecting the central bank's ongoing easing cycle with 50 basis point cuts to 15.00% in March 2026 and 15.50% in February amid a sustainable inflation slowdown to 5.9% year-on-year as of mid-March. Underlying price growth holds in the 4-5% annualized range, aligning with the Bank's 4.5-5.5% forecast for 2026 annual inflation, bolstering expectations for further monetary policy accommodation despite sticky household inflation expectations near 13%. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East elevate pro-inflation risks, supporting 10% no-change odds, with the April 24 decision and latest March CPI data as key near-term catalysts ahead of June.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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