Despite February 2026 reports that President Zelenskyy planned to announce a peace referendum alongside presidential elections, no such scheduling has occurred amid ongoing martial law and stalled trilateral U.S.-Ukraine-Russia peace talks. Recent polls, including a March KIIS survey, show 61% of Ukrainians open to territorial compromises for peace if framed positively with EU membership and security guarantees, though wording critically affects support. Kyiv insists fair referendums or votes require a ceasefire plus six months' stability, a precondition unmet after Russia violated temporary truces. Talks paused in mid-March amid unrelated Iran tensions, with no new diplomatic breakthroughs or scheduled summits in the past 30 days leaving trader consensus anchored on unresolved military stalemate.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$262,600 거래량
June 30
8%
September 30
18%
December 31
16%
$262,600 거래량
June 30
8%
September 30
18%
December 31
16%
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so.
Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Dec 29, 2025, 1:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so.
Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Despite February 2026 reports that President Zelenskyy planned to announce a peace referendum alongside presidential elections, no such scheduling has occurred amid ongoing martial law and stalled trilateral U.S.-Ukraine-Russia peace talks. Recent polls, including a March KIIS survey, show 61% of Ukrainians open to territorial compromises for peace if framed positively with EU membership and security guarantees, though wording critically affects support. Kyiv insists fair referendums or votes require a ceasefire plus six months' stability, a precondition unmet after Russia violated temporary truces. Talks paused in mid-March amid unrelated Iran tensions, with no new diplomatic breakthroughs or scheduled summits in the past 30 days leaving trader consensus anchored on unresolved military stalemate.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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