Trader consensus heavily favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (76.6%) amid the absence of any official announcements for an in-person summit following their August 2025 encounter in Anchorage, Alaska. Recent Kremlin statements on April 15 explicitly denied plans for a rendezvous during overlapping China visits—Trump with Xi Jinping on May 14–15 and Putin’s scheduled trips there—dampening speculation that boosted China to 7.5%. Ongoing diplomacy via envoys and phone calls, including March discussions on Ukraine and Iran conflicts, has sustained lower probabilities for Russia (3%) or other venues like Gulf countries, with no escalation signals or confirmed dates before the deadline. Upcoming Asia-Pacific engagements could shift odds if negotiations intensify.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 30일까지 회담 없음 76.6%
중국 7.8%
러시아 3.1%
다른 EU 국가 2.3%
$4,938,139 거래량
$4,938,139 거래량

6월 30일까지 회담 없음
77%

중국
8%

러시아
3%

다른 EU 국가
2%

걸프 국가
2%

터키
2%

기타
2%

미국
1%

스위스
1%

벨라루스
1%

핀란드
<1%

우크라이나
<1%

일본
<1%

한국
<1%

호주
<1%
6월 30일까지 회담 없음 76.6%
중국 7.8%
러시아 3.1%
다른 EU 국가 2.3%
$4,938,139 거래량
$4,938,139 거래량

6월 30일까지 회담 없음
77%

중국
8%

러시아
3%

다른 EU 국가
2%

걸프 국가
2%

터키
2%

기타
2%

미국
1%

스위스
1%

벨라루스
1%

핀란드
<1%

우크라이나
<1%

일본
<1%

한국
<1%

호주
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (76.6%) amid the absence of any official announcements for an in-person summit following their August 2025 encounter in Anchorage, Alaska. Recent Kremlin statements on April 15 explicitly denied plans for a rendezvous during overlapping China visits—Trump with Xi Jinping on May 14–15 and Putin’s scheduled trips there—dampening speculation that boosted China to 7.5%. Ongoing diplomacy via envoys and phone calls, including March discussions on Ukraine and Iran conflicts, has sustained lower probabilities for Russia (3%) or other venues like Gulf countries, with no escalation signals or confirmed dates before the deadline. Upcoming Asia-Pacific engagements could shift odds if negotiations intensify.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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