Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has repeatedly rejected territorial concessions to Russia in ongoing U.S.-mediated peace talks, most recently affirming in March 2026 that Kyiv will not cede Donbas or any land despite U.S. proposals linking security guarantees to such compromises. Trilateral negotiations in Switzerland and Florida stalled without breakthroughs, as Russia insists on formalizing control over occupied eastern regions while Ukraine prioritizes sovereignty and demilitarized zones without permanent losses. Continued Western arms deliveries, including Germany's recent air defense agreements, bolster Kyiv's military posture amid battlefield stalemates. Trader consensus at 83.5% "No" reflects this firm stance and historical precedents like the Budapest Memorandum's unfulfilled guarantees, though escalation or aid cuts could pressure shifts before 2027.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$548,289 거래량
$548,289 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$548,289 거래량
$548,289 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to cede any territory under its control at the time of the agreement is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify.
If a territorial adjustment is made as part of a mutual border demarcation process or technical boundary agreement that does not materially alter de facto control or reflect a broader territorial concession, it will not qualify for a 'Yes' resolution unless it is reported as a territorial concession by a consensus of credible reporting.
Any agreement which cedes de facto military control of territory held by Ukraine will qualify regardless of whether Ukraine formally maintains its claim to sovereignty. For example, the 1999 Kumanovo Military Technical Agreement, in which Yugoslavia agreed to pull military forces out of Kosovo but did not recognize Kosovo’s autonomy or independence would qualify for a 'Yes' resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has repeatedly rejected territorial concessions to Russia in ongoing U.S.-mediated peace talks, most recently affirming in March 2026 that Kyiv will not cede Donbas or any land despite U.S. proposals linking security guarantees to such compromises. Trilateral negotiations in Switzerland and Florida stalled without breakthroughs, as Russia insists on formalizing control over occupied eastern regions while Ukraine prioritizes sovereignty and demilitarized zones without permanent losses. Continued Western arms deliveries, including Germany's recent air defense agreements, bolster Kyiv's military posture amid battlefield stalemates. Trader consensus at 83.5% "No" reflects this firm stance and historical precedents like the Budapest Memorandum's unfulfilled guarantees, though escalation or aid cuts could pressure shifts before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to cede any territory under its control at the time of the agreement is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify.
If a territorial adjustment is made as part of a mutual border demarcation process or technical boundary agreement that does not materially alter de facto control or reflect a broader territorial concession, it will not qualify for a 'Yes' resolution unless it is reported as a territorial concession by a consensus of credible reporting.
Any agreement which cedes de facto military control of territory held by Ukraine will qualify regardless of whether Ukraine formally maintains its claim to sovereignty. For example, the 1999 Kumanovo Military Technical Agreement, in which Yugoslavia agreed to pull military forces out of Kosovo but did not recognize Kosovo’s autonomy or independence would qualify for a 'Yes' resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify.
If a territorial adjustment is made as part of a mutual border demarcation process or technical boundary agreement that does not materially alter de facto control or reflect a broader territorial concession, it will not qualify for a 'Yes' resolution unless it is reported as a territorial concession by a consensus of credible reporting.
Any agreement which cedes de facto military control of territory held by Ukraine will qualify regardless of whether Ukraine formally maintains its claim to sovereignty. For example, the 1999 Kumanovo Military Technical Agreement, in which Yugoslavia agreed to pull military forces out of Kosovo but did not recognize Kosovo’s autonomy or independence would qualify for a 'Yes' resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
마켓 개설일: Nov 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ET
거래량
$548,289종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to cede any territory under its control at the time of the agreement is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify.
If a territorial adjustment is made as part of a mutual border demarcation process or technical boundary agreement that does not materially alter de facto control or reflect a broader territorial concession, it will not qualify for a 'Yes' resolution unless it is reported as a territorial concession by a consensus of credible reporting.
Any agreement which cedes de facto military control of territory held by Ukraine will qualify regardless of whether Ukraine formally maintains its claim to sovereignty. For example, the 1999 Kumanovo Military Technical Agreement, in which Yugoslavia agreed to pull military forces out of Kosovo but did not recognize Kosovo’s autonomy or independence would qualify for a 'Yes' resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has repeatedly rejected territorial concessions to Russia in ongoing U.S.-mediated peace talks, most recently affirming in March 2026 that Kyiv will not cede Donbas or any land despite U.S. proposals linking security guarantees to such compromises. Trilateral negotiations in Switzerland and Florida stalled without breakthroughs, as Russia insists on formalizing control over occupied eastern regions while Ukraine prioritizes sovereignty and demilitarized zones without permanent losses. Continued Western arms deliveries, including Germany's recent air defense agreements, bolster Kyiv's military posture amid battlefield stalemates. Trader consensus at 83.5% "No" reflects this firm stance and historical precedents like the Budapest Memorandum's unfulfilled guarantees, though escalation or aid cuts could pressure shifts before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to cede any territory under its control at the time of the agreement is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify.
If a territorial adjustment is made as part of a mutual border demarcation process or technical boundary agreement that does not materially alter de facto control or reflect a broader territorial concession, it will not qualify for a 'Yes' resolution unless it is reported as a territorial concession by a consensus of credible reporting.
Any agreement which cedes de facto military control of territory held by Ukraine will qualify regardless of whether Ukraine formally maintains its claim to sovereignty. For example, the 1999 Kumanovo Military Technical Agreement, in which Yugoslavia agreed to pull military forces out of Kosovo but did not recognize Kosovo’s autonomy or independence would qualify for a 'Yes' resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify.
If a territorial adjustment is made as part of a mutual border demarcation process or technical boundary agreement that does not materially alter de facto control or reflect a broader territorial concession, it will not qualify for a 'Yes' resolution unless it is reported as a territorial concession by a consensus of credible reporting.
Any agreement which cedes de facto military control of territory held by Ukraine will qualify regardless of whether Ukraine formally maintains its claim to sovereignty. For example, the 1999 Kumanovo Military Technical Agreement, in which Yugoslavia agreed to pull military forces out of Kosovo but did not recognize Kosovo’s autonomy or independence would qualify for a 'Yes' resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
거래량
$548,289종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has repeatedly rejected territorial concessions to Russia in ongoing U.S.-mediated peace talks, most recently affirming in March 2026 that Kyiv will not cede Donbas or any land despite U.S. proposals linking security guarantees to such compromises. Trilateral negotiations in Switzerland and Florida stalled without breakthroughs, as Russia insists on formalizing control over occupied eastern regions while Ukraine prioritizes sovereignty and demilitarized zones without permanent losses. Continued Western arms deliveries, including Germany's recent air defense agreements, bolster Kyiv's military posture amid battlefield stalemates. Trader consensus at 83.5% "No" reflects this firm stance and historical precedents like the Budapest Memorandum's unfulfilled guarantees, though escalation or aid cuts could pressure shifts before 2027.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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