Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 85.5% implied probability against a trilateral meeting between President Trump, Putin, and Zelensky before 2027, driven by stalled Ukraine-Russia peace talks amid ongoing military escalations. Recent Russian violations of an Orthodox Easter cease-fire, reported just days ago, underscore persistent hostilities, while Zelensky has pursued independent arms deals with European allies like Germany and Norway, signaling no imminent negotiations. U.S. diplomatic efforts have shifted focus to the Iran conflict, with Zelensky noting American envoys lack time for Ukraine. Despite Trump's prior bilateral calls with both leaders and pressure for territorial concessions, deep animosity—exemplified by Zelensky's rejection of concessions—and absence of scheduled summits maintain high barriers, though a breakthrough in bilateral progress could shift odds.