Avengers: Doomsday dominates trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening weekend, fueled by early long-lead tracking reports crowning it the year's box office frontrunner and Disney's confirmed aggressive CinemaCon push, despite its December 18 holiday slot—echoing prior Avengers tentpoles like Endgame's record $357 million domestic debut. Spider-Man: Brand New Day holds 11.5% on massive trailer buzz from March, positioning its July 31 summer release for strong presales akin to No Way Home's $260 million bow. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's April 1 opening disappointed relative to hype, capping it at 2.4%, while Toy Story 5, Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu, and others face historical family/sequel barriers below $200 million. Watch for Doomsday trailers and tracking updates as swing factors in this volatile market.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2026년 개봉 주말이 가장 큰 영화는?
2026년 개봉 주말이 가장 큰 영화는?
어벤져스: 둠스데이 79%
스파이더맨: 브랜뉴 데이 12%
토이 스토리 5 2.3%
수퍼 마리오 갤럭시 영화 2.1%
$1,421,018 거래량
$1,421,018 거래량
2026.12.31
어벤져스: 둠스데이
79%
스파이더맨: 브랜뉴 데이
12%
토이 스토리 5
2%
수퍼 마리오 갤럭시 영화
2%
듄: 메시아
2%
스타워즈: 더 만달로리안과 그로구
1%
오디세이(The Odyssey)
1%
마이클
1%
헝거게임: 썬라이즈 온 더 리핑
<1%
어벤져스: 둠스데이 79%
스파이더맨: 브랜뉴 데이 12%
토이 스토리 5 2.3%
수퍼 마리오 갤럭시 영화 2.1%
$1,421,018 거래량
$1,421,018 거래량
2026.12.31
어벤져스: 둠스데이
$104,796 거래량
79%
스파이더맨: 브랜뉴 데이
$34,398 거래량
12%
토이 스토리 5
$179,713 거래량
2%
수퍼 마리오 갤럭시 영화
$10,292 거래량
2%
듄: 메시아
$83,370 거래량
2%
스타워즈: 더 만달로리안과 그로구
$30,653 거래량
1%
오디세이(The Odyssey)
$140,016 거래량
1%
마이클
$498,355 거래량
1%
헝거게임: 썬라이즈 온 더 리핑
$57,441 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday dominates trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening weekend, fueled by early long-lead tracking reports crowning it the year's box office frontrunner and Disney's confirmed aggressive CinemaCon push, despite its December 18 holiday slot—echoing prior Avengers tentpoles like Endgame's record $357 million domestic debut. Spider-Man: Brand New Day holds 11.5% on massive trailer buzz from March, positioning its July 31 summer release for strong presales akin to No Way Home's $260 million bow. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's April 1 opening disappointed relative to hype, capping it at 2.4%, while Toy Story 5, Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu, and others face historical family/sequel barriers below $200 million. Watch for Doomsday trailers and tracking updates as swing factors in this volatile market.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
마켓 개설일: Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ET
거래량
$1,421,018종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday dominates trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening weekend, fueled by early long-lead tracking reports crowning it the year's box office frontrunner and Disney's confirmed aggressive CinemaCon push, despite its December 18 holiday slot—echoing prior Avengers tentpoles like Endgame's record $357 million domestic debut. Spider-Man: Brand New Day holds 11.5% on massive trailer buzz from March, positioning its July 31 summer release for strong presales akin to No Way Home's $260 million bow. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's April 1 opening disappointed relative to hype, capping it at 2.4%, while Toy Story 5, Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu, and others face historical family/sequel barriers below $200 million. Watch for Doomsday trailers and tracking updates as swing factors in this volatile market.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
거래량
$1,421,018종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Avengers: Doomsday dominates trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening weekend, fueled by early long-lead tracking reports crowning it the year's box office frontrunner and Disney's confirmed aggressive CinemaCon push, despite its December 18 holiday slot—echoing prior Avengers tentpoles like Endgame's record $357 million domestic debut. Spider-Man: Brand New Day holds 11.5% on massive trailer buzz from March, positioning its July 31 summer release for strong presales akin to No Way Home's $260 million bow. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's April 1 opening disappointed relative to hype, capping it at 2.4%, while Toy Story 5, Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu, and others face historical family/sequel barriers below $200 million. Watch for Doomsday trailers and tracking updates as swing factors in this volatile market.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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