The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's commanding 98.4% implied probability stems from its record-shattering domestic opening of $190 million over five days starting April 1, followed by a robust second weekend haul pushing its North American gross past $315 million by mid-April—already 2026's highest-grossing release and dwarfing all other April contenders. Buoyed by the Nintendo franchise's proven family draw after the prior film's billion-dollar triumph, strong presales, and minimal family competition, traders see no realistic path for late-April openers like the Michael Jackson biopic (April 24) to close the gap despite biopic precedent like Bohemian Rhapsody. An upset would require Mario's legs to collapse dramatically amid mixed reviews, perhaps from audience fatigue or counterprogramming, though its animation appeal and Easter boost suggest sustained momentum through May 31.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 31일에 국내에서 가장 높은 수익을 올린 4월 영화는?
5월 31일에 국내에서 가장 높은 수익을 올린 4월 영화는?
슈퍼 마리오 갤럭시 무비 98.4%
마이클 1.1%
웨이스트랜드 캅 <1%
너와 나, 그리고 투스카니 <1%
$120,007 거래량
$120,007 거래량
슈퍼 마리오 갤럭시 무비
98%
마이클
1%
웨이스트랜드 캅
<1%
너와 나, 그리고 투스카니
<1%
마더 메리
<1%
휘슬러
<1%
Lorne
<1%
슈퍼 마리오 갤럭시 무비 98.4%
마이클 1.1%
웨이스트랜드 캅 <1%
너와 나, 그리고 투스카니 <1%
$120,007 거래량
$120,007 거래량
슈퍼 마리오 갤럭시 무비
98%
마이클
1%
웨이스트랜드 캅
<1%
너와 나, 그리고 투스카니
<1%
마더 메리
<1%
휘슬러
<1%
Lorne
<1%
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
마켓 개설일: Mar 25, 2026, 5:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's commanding 98.4% implied probability stems from its record-shattering domestic opening of $190 million over five days starting April 1, followed by a robust second weekend haul pushing its North American gross past $315 million by mid-April—already 2026's highest-grossing release and dwarfing all other April contenders. Buoyed by the Nintendo franchise's proven family draw after the prior film's billion-dollar triumph, strong presales, and minimal family competition, traders see no realistic path for late-April openers like the Michael Jackson biopic (April 24) to close the gap despite biopic precedent like Bohemian Rhapsody. An upset would require Mario's legs to collapse dramatically amid mixed reviews, perhaps from audience fatigue or counterprogramming, though its animation appeal and Easter boost suggest sustained momentum through May 31.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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