President Trump's frequent Truth Social posts featuring sharp personal attacks continue to define trader sentiment, exemplified by his April 12 lengthy rant against Pope Leo XIV—labeling the pontiff "too liberal and weak on crime" alongside a controversial image—drawing widespread Catholic backlash and responses from Vatican officials. This follows his April 5 expletive-laden threats toward Iran amid ongoing U.S.-backed airstrikes and Gulf escalations, plus insults targeting MAGA media figures like Tucker Carlson as "stupid losers" for opposing his Iran policy. With no recent pause in this combative rhetoric despite controversies, upcoming Mar-a-Lago press conferences and policy deadlines on Iran sanctions heighten odds of further public barbs, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in pricing his unfiltered communication style.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$135,941 거래량
2026.04.16
4월 16일
92%
4월 17일
91%
4월 18일
82%
4월 19일
71%
4월 20일
74%
4월 21일
77%
4월 22일
81%
4월 23일
86%
4월 24일
81%
4월 25일
83%
4월 26일
70%
4월 27일
79%
4월 28일
71%
4월 29일
81%
4월 30일
82%
$135,941 거래량
4월 16일
$4,139 거래량
92%
4월 17일
$7,882 거래량
91%
4월 18일
$4,694 거래량
82%
4월 19일
$256 거래량
71%
4월 20일
$938 거래량
74%
4월 21일
$6,065 거래량
77%
4월 22일
$3,113 거래량
81%
4월 23일
$7,676 거래량
86%
4월 24일
$5,872 거래량
81%
4월 25일
$4,898 거래량
83%
4월 26일
$2,220 거래량
70%
4월 27일
$5,907 거래량
79%
4월 28일
$394 거래량
71%
4월 29일
$3,608 거래량
81%
4월 30일
$441 거래량
82%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's frequent Truth Social posts featuring sharp personal attacks continue to define trader sentiment, exemplified by his April 12 lengthy rant against Pope Leo XIV—labeling the pontiff "too liberal and weak on crime" alongside a controversial image—drawing widespread Catholic backlash and responses from Vatican officials. This follows his April 5 expletive-laden threats toward Iran amid ongoing U.S.-backed airstrikes and Gulf escalations, plus insults targeting MAGA media figures like Tucker Carlson as "stupid losers" for opposing his Iran policy. With no recent pause in this combative rhetoric despite controversies, upcoming Mar-a-Lago press conferences and policy deadlines on Iran sanctions heighten odds of further public barbs, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in pricing his unfiltered communication style.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
거래량
$135,941종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's frequent Truth Social posts featuring sharp personal attacks continue to define trader sentiment, exemplified by his April 12 lengthy rant against Pope Leo XIV—labeling the pontiff "too liberal and weak on crime" alongside a controversial image—drawing widespread Catholic backlash and responses from Vatican officials. This follows his April 5 expletive-laden threats toward Iran amid ongoing U.S.-backed airstrikes and Gulf escalations, plus insults targeting MAGA media figures like Tucker Carlson as "stupid losers" for opposing his Iran policy. With no recent pause in this combative rhetoric despite controversies, upcoming Mar-a-Lago press conferences and policy deadlines on Iran sanctions heighten odds of further public barbs, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in pricing his unfiltered communication style.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$135,941종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's frequent Truth Social posts featuring sharp personal attacks continue to define trader sentiment, exemplified by his April 12 lengthy rant against Pope Leo XIV—labeling the pontiff "too liberal and weak on crime" alongside a controversial image—drawing widespread Catholic backlash and responses from Vatican officials. This follows his April 5 expletive-laden threats toward Iran amid ongoing U.S.-backed airstrikes and Gulf escalations, plus insults targeting MAGA media figures like Tucker Carlson as "stupid losers" for opposing his Iran policy. With no recent pause in this combative rhetoric despite controversies, upcoming Mar-a-Lago press conferences and policy deadlines on Iran sanctions heighten odds of further public barbs, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in pricing his unfiltered communication style.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문