Trader consensus favors Goiás Governor Ronaldo Caiado at 41% implied probability for third place in Brazil's October 4, 2026, presidential election first round, closely trailed by Mission Party leader Renan Santos at 34%, reflecting a fragmented center-right field beyond frontrunners President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, who dominate recent polls like MDA (April 8–12) and Datafolha (April 7–9) with 39–40% and 30–37% respectively. Caiado's late-March PSD nomination and amnesty pitch to unify conservatives have boosted his standing, while Santos gains as an anti-establishment MBL co-founder surpassing governors like Romeu Zema in niche surveys such as AtlasIntel. The race stays tight due to undecided voters (10–20%) and Ratinho Júnior's March 23 withdrawal scattering support; separation could come from party convention endorsements, fresh polling averages, or pre-campaign debates by June deadlines.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트호날두 카이아두 41%
레난 산투스 34%
로메우 제마 8%
페르난두 아다지 3.7%
$195,121 거래량
$195,121 거래량
2026.10.04
호날두 카이아두
41%
레난 산투스
34%
로메우 제마
8%
페르난두 아다지
4%
하치뉴 주니오르
3%
플라비우 보우소나루
3%
루이스 이나시우 룰라 다 시우바
2%
타르시지우 드 프레이타스
1%
에두아르두 볼소나루
1%
미셸 보우소나루
1%
자이르 보우소나루
1%
헤랄도 알크민
1%
카밀루 산타나
1%
알도 헤벨루
<1%
에두아르두 레이트
<1%
호날두 카이아두 41%
레난 산투스 34%
로메우 제마 8%
페르난두 아다지 3.7%
$195,121 거래량
$195,121 거래량
2026.10.04
호날두 카이아두
$9,471 거래량
41%
레난 산투스
$25,393 거래량
34%
로메우 제마
$3,208 거래량
8%
페르난두 아다지
$12,068 거래량
4%
하치뉴 주니오르
$90,145 거래량
3%
플라비우 보우소나루
$2,543 거래량
3%
루이스 이나시우 룰라 다 시우바
$2,900 거래량
2%
타르시지우 드 프레이타스
$2,758 거래량
1%
에두아르두 볼소나루
$34,203 거래량
1%
미셸 보우소나루
$2,019 거래량
1%
자이르 보우소나루
$1,976 거래량
1%
헤랄도 알크민
$2,684 거래량
1%
카밀루 산타나
$3,568 거래량
1%
알도 헤벨루
$1,236 거래량
<1%
에두아르두 레이트
$950 거래량
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Trader consensus favors Goiás Governor Ronaldo Caiado at 41% implied probability for third place in Brazil's October 4, 2026, presidential election first round, closely trailed by Mission Party leader Renan Santos at 34%, reflecting a fragmented center-right field beyond frontrunners President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, who dominate recent polls like MDA (April 8–12) and Datafolha (April 7–9) with 39–40% and 30–37% respectively. Caiado's late-March PSD nomination and amnesty pitch to unify conservatives have boosted his standing, while Santos gains as an anti-establishment MBL co-founder surpassing governors like Romeu Zema in niche surveys such as AtlasIntel. The race stays tight due to undecided voters (10–20%) and Ratinho Júnior's March 23 withdrawal scattering support; separation could come from party convention endorsements, fresh polling averages, or pre-campaign debates by June deadlines.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
마켓 개설일: Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
거래량
$195,121종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Trader consensus favors Goiás Governor Ronaldo Caiado at 41% implied probability for third place in Brazil's October 4, 2026, presidential election first round, closely trailed by Mission Party leader Renan Santos at 34%, reflecting a fragmented center-right field beyond frontrunners President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, who dominate recent polls like MDA (April 8–12) and Datafolha (April 7–9) with 39–40% and 30–37% respectively. Caiado's late-March PSD nomination and amnesty pitch to unify conservatives have boosted his standing, while Santos gains as an anti-establishment MBL co-founder surpassing governors like Romeu Zema in niche surveys such as AtlasIntel. The race stays tight due to undecided voters (10–20%) and Ratinho Júnior's March 23 withdrawal scattering support; separation could come from party convention endorsements, fresh polling averages, or pre-campaign debates by June deadlines.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
거래량
$195,121종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Goiás Governor Ronaldo Caiado at 41% implied probability for third place in Brazil's October 4, 2026, presidential election first round, closely trailed by Mission Party leader Renan Santos at 34%, reflecting a fragmented center-right field beyond frontrunners President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, who dominate recent polls like MDA (April 8–12) and Datafolha (April 7–9) with 39–40% and 30–37% respectively. Caiado's late-March PSD nomination and amnesty pitch to unify conservatives have boosted his standing, while Santos gains as an anti-establishment MBL co-founder surpassing governors like Romeu Zema in niche surveys such as AtlasIntel. The race stays tight due to undecided voters (10–20%) and Ratinho Júnior's March 23 withdrawal scattering support; separation could come from party convention endorsements, fresh polling averages, or pre-campaign debates by June deadlines.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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