Trader consensus heavily favors Partido Liberal (PL) to win the most seats in Brazil's October 4, 2026, Senate election, where 54 of 81 seats are contested, due to its current status as the largest Senate caucus with 15 members and strong performances in early state-level intention polls from Datafolha, Quaest, and others identifying PL candidates as frontrunners in multiple states. Recent presidential polls, including April Datafolha showing Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) ahead or tied with President Lula in simulated runoffs, have amplified PL's momentum through national coattails effects. MDB trails as a centrist incumbent powerhouse with competitive slates, while UNIÃO and PSD show regional strength; further candidate filings and polls could shift dynamics ahead of the vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트PL 80%
MDB 11%
브라질 통합당(UNIÃO) 5.5%
PSD 3.0%
$249,106 거래량
$249,106 거래량
2026.10.04
PL
80%
MDB
11%
브라질 통합당(UNIÃO)
6%
PSD
3%
PT
3%
PSB
2%
공화당
1%
PP
1%
노부
<1%
PSDB
<1%
포데모스
<1%
PDT
<1%
PL 80%
MDB 11%
브라질 통합당(UNIÃO) 5.5%
PSD 3.0%
$249,106 거래량
$249,106 거래량
2026.10.04
PL
$240,844 거래량
80%
MDB
$752 거래량
11%
브라질 통합당(UNIÃO)
$796 거래량
6%
PSD
$922 거래량
3%
PT
$837 거래량
3%
PSB
$711 거래량
2%
공화당
$937 거래량
1%
PP
$836 거래량
1%
노부
$920 거래량
<1%
PSDB
$545 거래량
<1%
포데모스
$501 거래량
<1%
PDT
$503 거래량
<1%
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Trader consensus heavily favors Partido Liberal (PL) to win the most seats in Brazil's October 4, 2026, Senate election, where 54 of 81 seats are contested, due to its current status as the largest Senate caucus with 15 members and strong performances in early state-level intention polls from Datafolha, Quaest, and others identifying PL candidates as frontrunners in multiple states. Recent presidential polls, including April Datafolha showing Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) ahead or tied with President Lula in simulated runoffs, have amplified PL's momentum through national coattails effects. MDB trails as a centrist incumbent powerhouse with competitive slates, while UNIÃO and PSD show regional strength; further candidate filings and polls could shift dynamics ahead of the vote.
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
마켓 개설일: Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
거래량
$249,106종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Trader consensus heavily favors Partido Liberal (PL) to win the most seats in Brazil's October 4, 2026, Senate election, where 54 of 81 seats are contested, due to its current status as the largest Senate caucus with 15 members and strong performances in early state-level intention polls from Datafolha, Quaest, and others identifying PL candidates as frontrunners in multiple states. Recent presidential polls, including April Datafolha showing Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) ahead or tied with President Lula in simulated runoffs, have amplified PL's momentum through national coattails effects. MDB trails as a centrist incumbent powerhouse with competitive slates, while UNIÃO and PSD show regional strength; further candidate filings and polls could shift dynamics ahead of the vote.
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
거래량
$249,106종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Partido Liberal (PL) to win the most seats in Brazil's October 4, 2026, Senate election, where 54 of 81 seats are contested, due to its current status as the largest Senate caucus with 15 members and strong performances in early state-level intention polls from Datafolha, Quaest, and others identifying PL candidates as frontrunners in multiple states. Recent presidential polls, including April Datafolha showing Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) ahead or tied with President Lula in simulated runoffs, have amplified PL's momentum through national coattails effects. MDB trails as a centrist incumbent powerhouse with competitive slates, while UNIÃO and PSD show regional strength; further candidate filings and polls could shift dynamics ahead of the vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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