Incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall's re-election campaign in deeply conservative Kansas drives the 77% trader consensus for a GOP Senate victory on November 3, 2026, reflecting the state's unbroken Republican hold since 1932 and historical incumbency advantages in safe seats. Marshall filed for re-election in January and toured the state in February highlighting tax cuts, while Democrats face a fragmented primary field of at least eight candidates ahead of the August 4 contest, with no dominant frontrunner emerging. Speculation around recruits like Rep. Sharice Davids persists but remains unconfirmed, and no credible public polling averages exist yet to challenge the GOP edge. Absent a high-profile Democratic consolidation or scandal, odds favor continuity.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$17,486 거래량
$17,486 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
77%
민주당
19%
$17,486 거래량
$17,486 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$9,451 거래량
77%
민주당
$8,035 거래량
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall's re-election campaign in deeply conservative Kansas drives the 77% trader consensus for a GOP Senate victory on November 3, 2026, reflecting the state's unbroken Republican hold since 1932 and historical incumbency advantages in safe seats. Marshall filed for re-election in January and toured the state in February highlighting tax cuts, while Democrats face a fragmented primary field of at least eight candidates ahead of the August 4 contest, with no dominant frontrunner emerging. Speculation around recruits like Rep. Sharice Davids persists but remains unconfirmed, and no credible public polling averages exist yet to challenge the GOP edge. Absent a high-profile Democratic consolidation or scandal, odds favor continuity.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
거래량
$17,486종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall's re-election campaign in deeply conservative Kansas drives the 77% trader consensus for a GOP Senate victory on November 3, 2026, reflecting the state's unbroken Republican hold since 1932 and historical incumbency advantages in safe seats. Marshall filed for re-election in January and toured the state in February highlighting tax cuts, while Democrats face a fragmented primary field of at least eight candidates ahead of the August 4 contest, with no dominant frontrunner emerging. Speculation around recruits like Rep. Sharice Davids persists but remains unconfirmed, and no credible public polling averages exist yet to challenge the GOP edge. Absent a high-profile Democratic consolidation or scandal, odds favor continuity.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$17,486종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall's re-election campaign in deeply conservative Kansas drives the 77% trader consensus for a GOP Senate victory on November 3, 2026, reflecting the state's unbroken Republican hold since 1932 and historical incumbency advantages in safe seats. Marshall filed for re-election in January and toured the state in February highlighting tax cuts, while Democrats face a fragmented primary field of at least eight candidates ahead of the August 4 contest, with no dominant frontrunner emerging. Speculation around recruits like Rep. Sharice Davids persists but remains unconfirmed, and no credible public polling averages exist yet to challenge the GOP edge. Absent a high-profile Democratic consolidation or scandal, odds favor continuity.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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