Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall seeks a second term in the solidly Republican state of Kansas, where the party holds consistent advantages in voter registration, recent statewide results, and electoral history. With the August primary and November general election still months away, early polling shows Marshall leading or statistically tied against potential Democratic challengers including state Sen. Patrick Schmidt, while multiple Democratic primary entrants risk splitting the opposition vote. Forecasters rate the contest safe for Republicans, and traders' consensus reflects these structural factors alongside the absence of major recent developments that would alter the state's partisan baseline or introduce unexpected vulnerabilities for the incumbent.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$29,724 거래량
$29,724 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
77%
민주당
20%
$29,724 거래량
$29,724 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$18,145 거래량
77%
민주당
$11,578 거래량
20%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall seeks a second term in the solidly Republican state of Kansas, where the party holds consistent advantages in voter registration, recent statewide results, and electoral history. With the August primary and November general election still months away, early polling shows Marshall leading or statistically tied against potential Democratic challengers including state Sen. Patrick Schmidt, while multiple Democratic primary entrants risk splitting the opposition vote. Forecasters rate the contest safe for Republicans, and traders' consensus reflects these structural factors alongside the absence of major recent developments that would alter the state's partisan baseline or introduce unexpected vulnerabilities for the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
거래량
$29,724종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall seeks a second term in the solidly Republican state of Kansas, where the party holds consistent advantages in voter registration, recent statewide results, and electoral history. With the August primary and November general election still months away, early polling shows Marshall leading or statistically tied against potential Democratic challengers including state Sen. Patrick Schmidt, while multiple Democratic primary entrants risk splitting the opposition vote. Forecasters rate the contest safe for Republicans, and traders' consensus reflects these structural factors alongside the absence of major recent developments that would alter the state's partisan baseline or introduce unexpected vulnerabilities for the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$29,724종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall seeks a second term in the solidly Republican state of Kansas, where the party holds consistent advantages in voter registration, recent statewide results, and electoral history. With the August primary and November general election still months away, early polling shows Marshall leading or statistically tied against potential Democratic challengers including state Sen. Patrick Schmidt, while multiple Democratic primary entrants risk splitting the opposition vote. Forecasters rate the contest safe for Republicans, and traders' consensus reflects these structural factors alongside the absence of major recent developments that would alter the state's partisan baseline or introduce unexpected vulnerabilities for the incumbent.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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