Skip to main content
icon for Precipitation in NYC in May?

Precipitation in NYC in May?

icon for Precipitation in NYC in May?

Precipitation in NYC in May?

3-4" 100.0%

<2" <1%

2-3" <1%

4-5" <1%

Polymarket

$17,403 거래량

3-4" 100.0%

<2" <1%

2-3" <1%

4-5" <1%

Polymarket

$17,403 거래량

<2"

$2,876 거래량

No

2-3"

$4,165 거래량

No

3-4"

$4,267 거래량

Yes

4-5"

$1,930 거래량

No

5-6"

$2,704 거래량

No

>6"

$1,462 거래량

No

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for May 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of May 2026. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from Central Park confirm that New York City recorded approximately 3.5–3.7 inches of precipitation during May 2026, placing the monthly total squarely within the 3–4 inch band and near the long-term climatological average of roughly 3.7 inches. This outcome reflects the final verified observational data rather than model forecasts, with daily accumulations showing no extreme events that would have pushed totals outside this narrow range. Trader consensus at near-certainty levels stems from the market’s reliance on these authoritative station records once the month concluded. Only a late data revision or reclassification of trace amounts could realistically alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare for established NOAA-linked stations.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for May 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of May 2026.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$17,403
종료일
2026.05.31
마켓 개설일
Apr 28, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for May 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of May 2026. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

결과 제안됨: No

이의 없음

최종 결과: No

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for May 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of May 2026. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from Central Park confirm that New York City recorded approximately 3.5–3.7 inches of precipitation during May 2026, placing the monthly total squarely within the 3–4 inch band and near the long-term climatological average of roughly 3.7 inches. This outcome reflects the final verified observational data rather than model forecasts, with daily accumulations showing no extreme events that would have pushed totals outside this narrow range. Trader consensus at near-certainty levels stems from the market’s reliance on these authoritative station records once the month concluded. Only a late data revision or reclassification of trace amounts could realistically alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare for established NOAA-linked stations.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for May 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of May 2026.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$17,403
종료일
2026.05.31
마켓 개설일
Apr 28, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for May 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of May 2026. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

결과 제안됨: No

이의 없음

최종 결과: No

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"Precipitation in NYC in May?"은 6개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 100%의 "3-4""이며, 이어서 0%의 "<2""입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 100¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 100%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "Precipitation in NYC in May?"은 총 $17.4K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Apr 28, 2026에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"Precipitation in NYC in May?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 6개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"Precipitation in NYC in May?"의 현재 유력 후보는 100%의 "3-4""이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 100%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 0%의 "<2""입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"Precipitation in NYC in May?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.